Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe87f132c20d1d9baf073e9e203e338f068d9613ec2bb3ca1bc078b41f2aebbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $796,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 618 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 106,495$61,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,909.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 78,707$32,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,633.54 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 63c | 41,429$26,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,033.15 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 34c | 22,495$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,871.95 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 20,144$11,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,636.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 61c | 19,960$12,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,175.6 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 60c | 18,095$10,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,856.71 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 60c | 15,222$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,133.2 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 61c | 12,232$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.47 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked No | 62c | 10,449$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 19c | 10,356$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.66 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed No | 60c | 9,750$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 62c | 9,541$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 40c | 9,232$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.31 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 40c | 8,785$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 61c | 8,488$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.57 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 61c | 7,949$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.78 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 70c | 7,020$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.01 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 6,827$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 61c | 6,520$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 34c | 4,906$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 4,479$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.75 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,103$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 3,998$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.04 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 65c | 3,890$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.24 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 41c | 3,867$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 40c | 3,748$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,734$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,576$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.9 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 39c | 3,278$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.37 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 19c | 3,224$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 17c | 3,003$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.25 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 35c | 2,999$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.55 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…46abbacked Yes | 40c | 2,987$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 16c | 2,771$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.13 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 37c | 2,721$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 39c | 2,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.46 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 40c | 2,342$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 35c | 2,299$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…56fcbacked Yes | 40c | 2,054$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 39c | 2,046$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,956$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.09 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 38c | 1,956$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.78 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,939$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 1,777$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.9 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…c664backed Yes | 73c | 1,676$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 61c | 1,613$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.11 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 60c | 1,437$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.49 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 40c | 1,377$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.34 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 60c | 1,372$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,337$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 39c | 1,330$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 77c | 1,285$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,281$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.63 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 63c | 1,245$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.31 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Yes | 41c | 1,238$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 44c | 1,150$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.35 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Yes | 45c | 1,135$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.44 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 75c | 1,121$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 41c | 1,085$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 56c | 1,073$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 41c | 1,027$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 39c | 1,013$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 999.4$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.61 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 41c | 970.5$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.71 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 43c | 938.03$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.19 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 78c | 878.22$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 40c | 868.93$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 40c | 844$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 62c | 780.56$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 60c | 777.44$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 36c | 771.91$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 54c | 765.59$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 39c | 753.56$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.67 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 61c | 749.92$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…65cabacked Yes | 48c | 743.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 42c | 725$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.