Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f940a99d1285777db2e8d865582305679e7ba2927e6af7af999b07dd561594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 15,893$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 63c | 13,530$8,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 75c | 8,500$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 75c | 4,250$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 16c | 4,250$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 4,231$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.84 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 2,472$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.65 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,383$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 1,711$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.86 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 75c | 1,564$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,307$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 30c | 1,173$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.86 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 9c | 878.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 64c | 877.63$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 744.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 72c | 600$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 30c | 497.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 8c | 458$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 25c | 400.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 64c | 396.8$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 21c | 390.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 381.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 26c | 377.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Yes | 13c | 305.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 284$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 75c | 276$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 221.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 36c | 215.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 25c | 198.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 78c | 195.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…4fa0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Yes | 14c | 179.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 64c | 170.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 26c | 165.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 21c | 159$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 29c | 148.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…8696backed Yes | 21c | 145.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 25c | 142.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 16c | 127.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 37c | 107.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 74c | 107$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 73c | 104.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…5a09backed Yes | 25c | 101.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Yes | 26c | 97.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 16c | 94.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 23c | 82.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Yes | 27c | 80.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…343fbacked Yes | 26c | 75.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 26c | 73.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…9b70backed Yes | 26c | 71.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 69.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 25c | 69.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 17c | 68.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 21c | 63.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…352cbacked No | 78c | 62.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…ac2fbacked Yes | 21c | 62.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Yes | 26c | 60.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…425cbacked No | 63c | 54.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Yes | 26c | 49.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…d51fbacked No | 63c | 44.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…d87dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…e553backed Yes | 31c | 35.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…ca78backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…b157backed Yes | 32c | 34.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…0ef8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.