TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c16,563$6,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,168.821,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c5,845$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes36c5,650$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03414544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No63c4,945$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.6679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked No67c4,474$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.863151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c4,161$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.892,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No66c3,999$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.714259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes37c3,453$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.6130143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked No62c2,918$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.82825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c2,891$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.2990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No65c2,328$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.121770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7207251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes3c1,774$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fd…d3adbacked Yes8c1,699$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes34c1,575$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes35c1,417$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes36c1,300$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ab…5099backed Yes2c1,240$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No66c1,211$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.567759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes23c1,041$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.311,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes4c1,035$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes33c988.4$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.1785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c926.03$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.492,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes4c878.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes29c794.72$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes29c701.39$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c666$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3422458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…53e6backed Yes30c657.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes38c631.58$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21644939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No68c444.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2315257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes4c432.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.652334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No67c403.66$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.697436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes36c390.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.445745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4614043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes34c301.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7622229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939446.8%44 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10225339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf0…4ccabacked Yes7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No69c267.19$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.832774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No71c265.42$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6629041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No67c255.65$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.077659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No66c255.3$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.85164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked No65c231$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.854660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed No66c213.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes33c203.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.618139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No64c201.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.58552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes12c200.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17eb…82bcbacked No74c194.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.673056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1dc8backed No72c173.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.581833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9346…ea03backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes8c170.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.397655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No66c159.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1939651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No72c159.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5215560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes23c148.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3642324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0614252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No65c143$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.054445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed No65c123$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.051931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-54.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes35c119.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.899650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bf…7758backed No66c116.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.883540%14 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ec…c276backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes35c97.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0710846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes22c92.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208731%27 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed No66c92.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.412250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Yes35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55632.1%18 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes30c86.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1917327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes25c79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked No65c78.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.465657.1%32 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes33c78.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.692133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd67b…2394backed No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed No65c75.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…bc89backed No65c75.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.272437.5%9 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes25c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182f…87d2backed No71c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…3d09backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed No63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes36c62.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5414643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked No66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+61.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No65c58.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3914258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4b2…3647backed Yes34c58.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…0fd2backed No62c58.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6329735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes33c51.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.045658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.