Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0f715016515236e081fe23f5eee4b1b13e2a8ed3fe75a8ad7766031cb9ae69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,238,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,501,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,238,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,016 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 64c | 301,033$192,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,371.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 219,999$79,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,199.69 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 170,028$108,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,326.52 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 64c | 128,800$82,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,478.85 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 100,094$36,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,076.87 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 38c | 87,800$32,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,969 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 11c | 82,483$8,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,904.62 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 71,114$23,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,676.08 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 36c | 64,332$23,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,231.02 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed Yes | 76c | 59,054$44,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,464.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 64c | 43,805$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,805.27 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 38c | 40,095$15,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,236.14 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.96 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 64c | 38,434$24,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,836.38 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 63c | 36,559$23,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,527 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 36,455$13,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 39c | 35,703$13,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,867.23 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 5c | 30,999$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.88 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 38c | 30,300$11,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,391 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 38c | 29,925$11,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,371.31 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 64c | 26,831$17,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.42 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 26,239$9,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,766.89 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 25,982$9,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.09 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 21,803$7,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,957.72 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 37c | 21,533$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.21 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 36c | 17,267$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.04 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 36c | 14,869$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.01 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 12,917$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 12,598$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.28 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 12,512$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.87 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 63c | 12,500$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 20c | 11,500$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 24c | 10,375$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.12 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 64c | 10,174$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.38 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 37c | 9,815$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.49 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 9,481$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.76 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 61c | 9,335$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.09 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 62c | 8,573$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 64c | 8,359$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.24 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 63c | 8,144$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 69c | 8,125$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 38c | 7,890$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 36c | 7,584$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.3 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 69c | 7,376$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.5 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…87bcbacked No | 37c | 7,175$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed No | 37c | 6,572$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 38c | 6,324$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 37c | 6,076$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.44 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 36c | 6,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 37c | 5,151$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.87 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 36c | 4,867$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 4,759$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.72 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 63c | 4,758$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 64c | 4,689$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 36c | 4,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 37c | 4,463$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 62c | 4,421$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.35 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…56fcbacked Yes | 62c | 4,355$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.96 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 37c | 3,843$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 3,657$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.57 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 37c | 3,571$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.25 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 78c | 3,479$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 3,469$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.3 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 74c | 3,450$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.19 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 64c | 3,404$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 63c | 3,150$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 64c | 3,150$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 62c | 3,045$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.32 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 64c | 3,030$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.69 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.04 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 64c | 2,800$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 62c | 2,555$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 64c | 2,403$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,369$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…d2aabacked Yes | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 26c | 2,257$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 16c | 2,249$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.88 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 37c | 2,043$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.94 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 64c | 1,928$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.91 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.