Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e40c82ceb1b5d1ef770c2c7369d2374a0132ef18df7b55ed28a311cdb758d84

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Alcarazof Alcaraz, Zverev
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,642,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,725,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,642,472 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,026 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Alcaraz	34c	532,097$182,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349,175.16	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Zverev	18c	320,573$56,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,929.71	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Alcaraz	72c	306,701$221,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84,950.42	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Zverev	64c	293,463$186,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186,710.15	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Alcaraz	50c	241,642$120,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121,642.34	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Zverev	31c	119,547$36,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,464.33	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Zverev	68c	108,822$73,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,763.93	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Zverev	13c	94,846$11,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,962.89	809	38.8%314 W · 495 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Alcaraz	38c	89,949$33,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,038.39	457	37.9%173 W · 284 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Zverev	17c	88,235$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zverev	18c	88,194$16,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,214.43	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed Zverev	2c	87,178$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887.48	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Zverev	69c	76,552$52,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,536.02	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zverev	43c	70,072$30,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,331.96	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Alcaraz	63c	61,510$38,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,531.18	756	48.7%368 W · 388 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c2…680ebacked Alcaraz	54c	51,044$27,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,565.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Zverev	16c	50,708$7,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,991.19	2,304	51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L	+10.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zverev	36c	48,968$17,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,504.89	158	32.9%52 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zverev	56c	47,600$26,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,737.35	6,685	36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L	-96.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Zverev	52c	39,521$20,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,487.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Zverev	5c	31,009$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.73	191	34%65 W · 126 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zverev	71c	30,299$21,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,536.47	656	47.6%312 W · 344 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Zverev	16c	30,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800.01	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+55%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Zverev	15c	30,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Zverev	66c	30,000$19,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,949.35	178	23%41 W · 137 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Alcaraz	50c	29,450$14,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,590.86	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Zverev	51c	29,338$14,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,948.14	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Zverev	9c	28,822$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.77	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Zverev	77c	26,541$20,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,547.68	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-5.9wins	-0.24per pick	56cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Alcaraz	47c	26,517$12,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,119.07	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zverev	30c	25,828$7,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,739.05	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Zverev	15c	25,000$3,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,749.99	192	41.1%79 W · 113 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Zverev	76c	24,861$18,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,795.05	45	60%27 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Zverev	50c	24,277$12,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,099.75	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Zverev	34c	24,223$8,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,167.58	139	34.5%48 W · 91 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Alcaraz	49c	22,471$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,471.32	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zverev	47c	21,892$10,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,220.66	11,325	43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L	+18.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Zverev	31c	21,865$6,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,858.22	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…e004backed Alcaraz	48c	21,000$10,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,920	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zverev	49c	20,065$9,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,909.46	8,152	45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L	+155.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca76…28b3backed Zverev	68c	20,000$13,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,575.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zverev	15c	20,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.99	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Zverev	16c	19,519$3,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,213.76	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x048b…09efbacked Zverev	21c	17,815$3,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,830.02	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Alcaraz	71c	17,779$12,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,170.57	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Alcaraz	79c	17,539$13,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,696.48	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e13…f545backed Alcaraz	27c	16,725$4,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,202.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+147.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alcaraz	53c	16,272$8,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,710.33	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3906backed Zverev	25c	15,930$3,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Alcaraz	68c	15,252$10,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,810.4	454	57.9%263 W · 191 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Zverev	76c	15,015$11,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,468.37	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Alcaraz	71c	14,651$10,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,298.01	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Alcaraz	48c	13,622$6,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,074.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Zverev	28c	12,568$3,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,464.64	579	39.7%230 W · 349 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Alcaraz	32c	12,528$4,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,526.47	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+6.7wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Alcaraz	65c	12,441$8,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,340.43	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee46…1d79backed Zverev	24c	12,180$2,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,876.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6989…b412backed Zverev	62c	10,211$6,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,368.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Zverev	7c	9,987$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.54	575	22.1%127 W · 448 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Zverev	26c	9,951$2,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,634.33	308	47.7%147 W · 161 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Zverev	13c	9,804$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.01	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Zverev	16c	9,770$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.26	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alcaraz	64c	9,387$6,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,339.86	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Zverev	32c	8,800$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840.36	1,188	48.9%581 W · 607 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Zverev	17c	8,792$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.01	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	45cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Alcaraz	52c	8,440$4,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,055.87	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Zverev	74c	8,392$6,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,225.71	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Alcaraz	61c	8,329$5,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,271.56	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…26d2backed Zverev	69c	8,311$5,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,736.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Alcaraz	25c	8,259$2,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,196.34	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Zverev	74c	8,025$5,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,977.74	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Zverev	0c	7,984$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked Zverev	68c	7,984$5,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,411.75	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…db04backed Alcaraz	55c	7,982$4,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,615.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Zverev	75c	7,735$5,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,823.65	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+369.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Zverev	14c	7,446$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.51	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Zverev	67c	7,262$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Zverev	46c	7,239$3,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,315.82	244	38.9%95 W · 149 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zverev	56c	7,175$4,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,042.96	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Alcaraz	38c	6,980$2,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,358.94	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2198…ac01backed Alcaraz	35c	6,943$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,542.53	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.81per pick	19cpaid	+1,181%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x607b…4012backed Zverev	6c	6,928$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.43	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+84.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zverev	35c	6,853$2,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,432.54	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Zverev	77c	6,650$5,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,118.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Alcaraz	67c	6,608$4,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,159.59	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Zverev	14c	6,409$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.35	108	15.7%17 W · 91 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+248.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Alcaraz	78c	6,277$4,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374.39	186	63.4%118 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Zverev	51c	6,243$3,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,206.21	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Zverev	46c	6,233$2,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,884.29	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Alcaraz	77c	6,135$4,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420.37	133	63.9%85 W · 48 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Zverev	49c	6,051$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,993.99	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Zverev	15c	6,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.99	223	44.8%100 W · 123 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Alcaraz	35c	5,961$2,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,896.44	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Zverev	40c	5,400$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.6	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Zverev	32c	5,346$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.18	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Zverev	52c	5,253$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,718.54	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Alcaraz	41c	5,155$2,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,045.2	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…7f31backed Zverev	78c	5,029$3,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,902.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Zverev	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.01	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Zverev	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	295	49.8%147 W · 148 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevthis page
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs ZverevAlcaraz won
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event