Tennis · resolved market
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ac0036fbc5512f594d57e745a32e6fcbf3b10270b1d612d8daaee2ac82ff3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 30,138$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Under | 47c | 1,000$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.81 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 44c | 985.17$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.07 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Over | 55c | 346.59$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 319$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…b08ebacked Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 56c | 119.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Over | 51c | 93.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…37adbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 86.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 70.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…ca56backed Over | 53c | 68.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 53c | 58.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…85f7backed Over | 52c | 48.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…e4cdbacked Under | 49c | 36.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…5065backed Over | 53c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…62a5backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…b4f8backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 21.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevAlcaraz won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs ZverevAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.