TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd675…30d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT7562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.45
BMW Open: Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.38
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
BMW Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.55
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$23.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallobacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.11
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.46
Bucharest Open: Elmer Moeller vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$6.07
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.48
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.86
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bicknell vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.38
Phoenix: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.31
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Santiago: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$20.46
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.