Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86fbf22d24c88fcbbe86bf1c218e1fea3f170c7c53bb0d056b9cbd042cbf3fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billy Harrisof Billy Harris, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,832 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 9,520$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 4,896$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.41 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Billy Harris | 58c | 4,455$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.03 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Billy Harris | 47c | 4,415$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 4,336$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.57 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Billy Harris | 75c | 4,205$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.1 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Billy Harris | 58c | 3,850$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Billy Harris | 62c | 3,395$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Billy Harris | 71c | 3,376$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 2,593$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Billy Harris | 51c | 2,562$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.63 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Adrian Mannarino | 60c | 2,319$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Adrian Mannarino | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Billy Harris | 78c | 1,811$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 1,660$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 1,527$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 1,481$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.23 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Billy Harris | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Billy Harris | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Billy Harris | 28c | 1,034$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.12 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 1,019$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 908.36$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Billy Harris | 59c | 852.41$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.49 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 836.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Adrian Mannarino | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 823.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Billy Harris | 53c | 764.93$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.38 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Billy Harris | 29c | 727.14$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.44 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Billy Harris | 30c | 717.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Adrian Mannarino | 67c | 687.88$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.38 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 661.02$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Adrian Mannarino | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 600$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Adrian Mannarino | 64c | 580$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.6 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 572.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 560.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Billy Harris | 56c | 545.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Billy Harris | 48c | 520.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Billy Harris | 66c | 520$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 517.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 63c | 500$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Billy Harris | 28c | 482.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.72 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 467.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Billy Harris | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ba84backed Billy Harris | 67c | 449.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 65 | 76.9%50 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 416.91$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.34 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 400.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Billy Harris | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Billy Harris | 70c | 394.25$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Billy Harris | 29c | 363.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Billy Harris | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Billy Harris | 20c | 348.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Adrian Mannarino | 65c | 348.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Billy Harris | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Billy Harris | 78c | 305.23$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 58c | 290.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Billy Harris | 38c | 285.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Adrian Mannarino | 64c | 273.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…b046backed Adrian Mannarino | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 47c | 262.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Adrian Mannarino | 61c | 259.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Billy Harris | 29c | 257.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 243.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 237.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Adrian Mannarino | 48c | 226.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 220$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Adrian Mannarino | 70c | 215.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 212.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 212.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Billy Harris | 32c | 208.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Billy Harris | 36c | 206$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 57c | 202$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Billy Harris | 55c | 198.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Billy Harris | 40c | 196$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Adrian Mannarino | 67c | 194.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Billy Harris | 27c | 193.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…c52ebacked Billy Harris | 48c | 187.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Billy Harris | 44c | 182.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Adrian Mannarino | 68c | 180.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 178.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 176.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Billy Harris | 58c | 166.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Adrian Mannarino | 60c | 162.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Billy Harris | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 159$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Billy Harris | 29c | 159$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Billy Harris | 32c | 156.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Billy Harris | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Billy Harris | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Billy Harris | 24c | 146.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Adrian Mannarino | 65c | 143.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 140.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Adrian Mannarino | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Adrian Mannarino | 68c | 139.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Billy Harris | 28c | 128.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Harris vs MannarinoHarris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.