TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc26f…ba84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
1
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT6576.9%50 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.41
Miami Open: Ben Shelton vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$63.53
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Miami Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Quentin Halysbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Ferybacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.43
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$168.95
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.35
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$146.5
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.