Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d55b413c109c47d9951abc4f4d1389c8cffc7d40e24fd2ea1d8e0a48a2999e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Cerundoloof Francisco Cerundolo, Daniil Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $994,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bc6…a5bdbacked Daniil Medvedev | 78c | 85,364$66,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,941.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Daniil Medvedev | 53c | 46,357$24,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,491.06 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 27,297$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,291.69 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 21,166$8,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,769.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Daniil Medvedev | 29c | 19,242$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 57c | 17,840$10,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.43 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 52c | 17,383$9,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,268.51 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 35c | 12,905$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.68 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 12,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.96 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Francisco Cerundolo | 43c | 9,544$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Francisco Cerundolo | 17c | 7,470$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.59 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 45c | 7,197$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.51 | 756 | 48.7%368 W · 388 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Daniil Medvedev | 40c | 7,172$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 6,611$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.13 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 6,547$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 438 | 63.9%280 W · 158 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 37c | 6,188$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 6,114$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 5,458$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.86 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Daniil Medvedev | 36c | 5,289$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.71 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 5,269$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.13 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francisco Cerundolo | 31c | 5,195$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.64 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 5,090$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Francisco Cerundolo | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.97 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Francisco Cerundolo | 45c | 4,866$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.64 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 4,720$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.56 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 4,500$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.55 | 155 | 65.2%101 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniil Medvedev | 55c | 4,481$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.04 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 4,007$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…7dd8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 3,898$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Daniil Medvedev | 28c | 3,833$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.08 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 3,765$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.95 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 2c | 3,754$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 3,621$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.43 | 488 | 35.9%175 W · 313 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 21c | 3,507$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.5 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 26c | 3,500$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.03 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Daniil Medvedev | 1c | 3,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 3,234$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.14 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 53c | 3,209$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.09 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…aa48backed Francisco Cerundolo | 25c | 3,209$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 3,132$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.37 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Daniil Medvedev | 27c | 2,984$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.68 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Daniil Medvedev | 35c | 2,815$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.04 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 2,797$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 2,793$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.45 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 2,739$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.47 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 42c | 2,719$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.45 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 2,620$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9523…7fddbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 31c | 2,598$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Daniil Medvedev | 39c | 2,569$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Daniil Medvedev | 59c | 2,427$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.97 | 450 | 44%198 W · 252 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 2,402$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.34 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 2,299$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 68c | 2,229$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.14 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…9c6dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 46c | 2,146$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 48c | 2,130$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.49 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 2,091$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.06 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Daniil Medvedev | 53c | 2,083$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…7478backed Francisco Cerundolo | 48c | 2,077$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 59c | 2,060$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.71 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Daniil Medvedev | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 294 | 54.8%161 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Daniil Medvedev | 45c | 2,000$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.72 | 247 | 40.5%100 W · 147 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 46c | 1,936$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.42 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Francisco Cerundolo | 53c | 1,889$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.21 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 1,876$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.49 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Daniil Medvedev | 42c | 1,783$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.28 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 69c | 1,766$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.14 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 1,749$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.86 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…50d7backed Francisco Cerundolo | 66c | 1,678$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 1,675$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.44 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 1,662$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.82 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Daniil Medvedev | 54c | 1,655$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Daniil Medvedev | 36c | 1,611$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 1,558$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…98b3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 56c | 1,554$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Daniil Medvedev | 33c | 1,514$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.62 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Daniil Medvedev | 53c | 1,446$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Daniil Medvedev | 46c | 1,415$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.21 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,382$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Daniil Medvedev | 55c | 1,378$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.77 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 1,377$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.6 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 1,376$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 47c | 1,376$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.21 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniil Medvedev | 45c | 1,372$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.36 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 1,346$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.83 | 356 | 53.9%192 W · 164 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Francisco Cerundolo | 35c | 1,333$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Daniil Medvedev | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Daniil Medvedev | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 1,297$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Francisco Cerundolo | 44c | 1,295$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b2d8backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 1,294$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…74fcbacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 1,280$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 1,260$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevthis page
- Cerundolo vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Francisco Cerundolo vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs MedvedevCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.