Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed2379e144fbcc3c0e410391b2ec6ec1881651e5273f6f7160759db0c7f1d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Medvedevof Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,019,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,019,951 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81a9…581bbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 53c | 397,704$210,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,981.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 79c | 201,333$158,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,371.64 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Carlos Alcaraz | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Daniil Medvedev | 45c | 91,831$41,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,165.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 48c | 73,147$35,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,959.87 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 62,239$39,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,235.24 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 50,917$11,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,182.85 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Daniil Medvedev | 37c | 37,180$13,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,593.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Daniil Medvedev | 55c | 37,029$20,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,613.8 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 34,782$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,468.95 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 32,974$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,368.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 58c | 24,906$14,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,423.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 51c | 23,009$11,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,661.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Daniil Medvedev | 41c | 18,924$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,185.48 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed Carlos Alcaraz | 78c | 17,100$13,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 17,082$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,178.1 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniil Medvedev | 45c | 16,710$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,155.35 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 16,543$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,271.5 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Carlos Alcaraz | 2c | 15,460$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 59c | 14,162$8,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 59c | 13,362$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 13,287$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,762.81 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 12,500$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,678.55 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Carlos Alcaraz | 35c | 12,215$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…e07abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 63c | 11,768$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,445.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Daniil Medvedev | 42c | 11,319$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,543.05 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 11,227$8,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,908.36 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 9,774$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.27 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 50c | 9,515$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.06 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 9,287$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.34 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Daniil Medvedev | 41c | 9,103$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Daniil Medvedev | 35c | 8,403$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 32c | 8,389$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.28 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 71c | 8,008$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Daniil Medvedev | 47c | 7,785$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.55 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Carlos Alcaraz | 55c | 7,600$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 7,597$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,036.18 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Daniil Medvedev | 39c | 7,240$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.47 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…b6c5backed Carlos Alcaraz | 59c | 6,758$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…dd0dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 5c | 6,622$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 6,425$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.4 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Daniil Medvedev | 16c | 6,362$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 5,900$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.98 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniil Medvedev | 48c | 5,867$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.16 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 72c | 5,770$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.59 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniil Medvedev | 34c | 5,520$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Daniil Medvedev | 59c | 5,491$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.61 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 5,050$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 5,015$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.56 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 63c | 4,824$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 43c | 4,677$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.5 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 4,480$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.76 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniil Medvedev | 16c | 3,988$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.52 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Daniil Medvedev | 47c | 3,453$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniil Medvedev | 49c | 3,378$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.52 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Carlos Alcaraz | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Carlos Alcaraz | 52c | 3,309$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 3,307$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.54 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Carlos Alcaraz | 69c | 3,271$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.27 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 68c | 3,265$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.68 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 3,241$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.97 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Daniil Medvedev | 16c | 3,200$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 3,172$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.13 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 3,081$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.78 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 58c | 3,000$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 60c | 2,962$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.09 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Daniil Medvedev | 26c | 2,893$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.93 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.78 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Carlos Alcaraz | 80c | 2,634$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.68 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Carlos Alcaraz | 57c | 2,487$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.49 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 63c | 2,371$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 2,182$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.06 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Carlos Alcaraz | 61c | 2,165$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.33 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Carlos Alcaraz | 55c | 2,147$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Carlos Alcaraz | 51c | 2,070$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.21 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Daniil Medvedev | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Carlos Alcaraz | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Daniil Medvedev | 36c | 1,988$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.61 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 1,944$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.44 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 1,928$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 22c | 1,905$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 54c | 1,865$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Carlos Alcaraz | 56c | 1,864$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.13 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Daniil Medvedev | 38c | 1,806$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.54 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 1,802$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.63 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 1,771$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.8 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 1,770$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.33 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 1,750$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.49 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Daniil Medvedev | 40c | 1,736$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.19 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Daniil Medvedev | 39c | 1,710$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.69 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 1,696$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Daniil Medvedev | 37c | 1,677$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.86 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Carlos Alcaraz | 75c | 1,667$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.6 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 1,602$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.62 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 1,574$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.68 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs MedvedevMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.