Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e685f78748d353eeefeb54785dfe7b0e864607ecd6ad31c84f650168e3d4af7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marin Cilicof Marin Cilic, Alexei Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,638 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alexei Popyrin | 15c | 16,052$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.14 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alexei Popyrin | 23c | 10,584$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.84 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Alexei Popyrin | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Marin Cilic | 78c | 8,903$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.75 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Marin Cilic | 57c | 8,792$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.66 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alexei Popyrin | 17c | 6,841$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.61 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Marin Cilic | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marin Cilic | 64c | 2,735$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 2,690$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.05 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Marin Cilic | 76c | 2,462$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.47 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 2,346$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marin Cilic | 63c | 1,992$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alexei Popyrin | 49c | 1,952$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.27 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 23c | 1,753$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.73 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 1,616$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.03 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 1,562$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.78 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 1,314$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Marin Cilic | 75c | 1,252$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.55 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marin Cilic | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Alexei Popyrin | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Alexei Popyrin | 29c | 1,020$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexei Popyrin | 11c | 878.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alexei Popyrin | 3c | 709$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Alexei Popyrin | 48c | 693.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Marin Cilic | 57c | 677.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Marin Cilic | 56c | 540.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Marin Cilic | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Marin Cilic | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 44c | 429.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Marin Cilic | 52c | 423$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 418.71$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 410.24$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Alexei Popyrin | 14c | 381.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marin Cilic | 65c | 330.02$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Alexei Popyrin | 31c | 320.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 307.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alexei Popyrin | 14c | 305.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 299.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Marin Cilic | 62c | 297.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Alexei Popyrin | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 249.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 240.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Marin Cilic | 63c | 238.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Alexei Popyrin | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Marin Cilic | 79c | 210$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 210$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Marin Cilic | 70c | 203.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Marin Cilic | 64c | 202.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…b3f9backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Marin Cilic | 76c | 196.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Marin Cilic | 58c | 184.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marin Cilic | 75c | 178$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Marin Cilic | 57c | 173$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Marin Cilic | 60c | 172.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alexei Popyrin | 41c | 161.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Marin Cilic | 76c | 159.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Marin Cilic | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Marin Cilic | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Marin Cilic | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Marin Cilic | 70c | 157$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Marin Cilic | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…468abacked Alexei Popyrin | 40c | 129.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Marin Cilic | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alexei Popyrin | 40c | 114.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Alexei Popyrin | 25c | 112.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Marin Cilic | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Alexei Popyrin | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Alexei Popyrin | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Alexei Popyrin | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 98.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Marin Cilic | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Alexei Popyrin | 48c | 85.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Alexei Popyrin | 13c | 83.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Marin Cilic | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 78.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marin Cilic | 64c | 77.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Marin Cilic | 46c | 76.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alexei Popyrin | 34c | 67.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alexei Popyrin | 34c | 60.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Marin Cilic | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alexei Popyrin | 40c | 55.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 55.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Alexei Popyrin | 47c | 53.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Alexei Popyrin | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…0405backed Alexei Popyrin | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed93…037cbacked Marin Cilic | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Marin Cilic | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…3302backed Alexei Popyrin | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrinthis page
- Cilic vs. Popyrin: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cilic vs. Popyrin: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs PopyrinCilic won
- Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)Cilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.