TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd00d…0405

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT16948.5%82 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Dammbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$169.99
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$24.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$32.23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.