Tennis · resolved market
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3913de73900ac86d62496309691bb001509dcf5318ea38d6c6179349b815d0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frances Tiafoeof Frances Tiafoe, Sho Shimabukuro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Sho Shimabukuro | 29c | 67,598$19,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,286.26 | 769 | 39.8%306 W · 463 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Frances Tiafoe | 76c | 35,193$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,393.26 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 20,194$13,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.45 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Sho Shimabukuro | 22c | 19,313$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.42 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Frances Tiafoe | 77c | 10,593$8,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.66 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Frances Tiafoe | 80c | 9,698$7,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.37 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Frances Tiafoe | 72c | 6,904$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.31 | 539 | 55.5%299 W · 240 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sho Shimabukuro | 30c | 5,010$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.77 | 1,454 | 28.5%414 W · 1,040 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Sho Shimabukuro | 12c | 3,442$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Sho Shimabukuro | 30c | 3,347$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.96 | 582 | 40%233 W · 349 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sho Shimabukuro | 7c | 3,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Frances Tiafoe | 77c | 2,723$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.72 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 2,169$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.36 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 748 | 40.9%306 W · 442 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Frances Tiafoe | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.88 | 639 | 56.5%361 W · 278 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 1,340$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.98 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 35c | 1,310$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.67 | 316 | 37.7%119 W · 197 L | -25.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Frances Tiafoe | 77c | 1,287$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 14c | 1,266$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 5c | 1,141$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 763 | 12.1%92 W · 671 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 1,119$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Sho Shimabukuro | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 892 | 37.2%332 W · 560 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.38 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Sho Shimabukuro | 21c | 1,079$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 1,040$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 71c | 1,006$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.21 | 2,160 | 54%1,166 W · 994 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 1,004$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.46 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +38.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 19c | 959.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 1,012 | 39.1%396 W · 616 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,507 | 35.1%529 W · 978 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 883.3$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 1,522 | 37.8%576 W · 946 L | +26.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…9f29backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 717.39$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 608.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Sho Shimabukuro | 18c | 584.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 24c | 584.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 282 | 33%93 W · 189 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb9…c791backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 579.6$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…c0c0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 531.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 507.38$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Frances Tiafoe | 71c | 489.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 485.85$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Sho Shimabukuro | 20c | 485$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Frances Tiafoe | 75c | 468$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 709 | 29.1%206 W · 503 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 80c | 394$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…bacabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 6c | 371.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 357.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 1,379 | 38.4%530 W · 849 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 79c | 349.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 370 | 61.9%229 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 326$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 467 | 52.5%245 W · 222 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 320$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 371 | 47.7%177 W · 194 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 21c | 276.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 136 | 34.6%47 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Sho Shimabukuro | 16c | 273$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 25c | 259.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Sho Shimabukuro | 22c | 243.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 33c | 237.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 235.61$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 861 | 68.4%589 W · 272 L | +25.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…910dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 208.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 466 | 40.6%189 W · 277 L | -36.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 77c | 206.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 206.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 205.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,633 | 52.7%860 W · 773 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,296 | 42.9%984 W · 1,312 L | +37.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Frances Tiafoe | 77c | 182.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 516 | 58.5%302 W · 214 L | +34.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 179.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 171.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 168$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 167.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 24c | 165$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 24c | 157.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 157.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,023 | 57.9%592 W · 431 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 252 | 52.4%132 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 150.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 73c | 150.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 867 | 49.7%431 W · 436 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Sho Shimabukuro | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 674 | 31.5%212 W · 462 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Frances Tiafoe | 72c | 139.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 138.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 137.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 135.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…b456backed Sho Shimabukuro | 39c | 125.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…a143backed Frances Tiafoe | 75c | 125.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 121.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Sho Shimabukuro | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Frances Tiafoe | 75c | 117$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukurothis page
- Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs ShimabukuroTiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)Tiafoe won
- Tiafoe vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.