TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a17…910d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT5255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.96
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.23
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Set Handicap: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$79.32
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Alexandra Shubladzebacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$61.13
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$208.08
Targu Mures: Luca Castelnuovo vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$57.15
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)backed Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$99.1
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.32
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.57
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.38
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Valentin Royerbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.88
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.92
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
Cerundolo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.77
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarrobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.39
Set Handicap: Siniakova (-1.5) vs Samsonova (+1.5)backed Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.1
Altmaier vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.76
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbertbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$102.83
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$88.24
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.64
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.68
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$47.85
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$38.86
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.67
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.16
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$89.62
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.38
Czechia to score first vs. South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.61
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.88
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$77.17
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$54.74
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$26.92
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$32.96
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$49.97
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.69
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$72.5
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.