La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9bb237dc0c4783496120cbb058ae686d40f9c1a6e544fb8bbea0d7cb12be735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 51c | 23,922$12,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,206.88 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 12,438$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.13 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 53c | 10,443$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,564.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 9,121$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.79 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Under | 35c | 8,492$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 6,803$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.53 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 6,393$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.6 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 1c | 5,811$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 4,338$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.11 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 64c | 2,814$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.85 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,932$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.43 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 51c | 1,610$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,085$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.77 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 749.85$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.56 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Under | 64c | 699.16$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 52c | 657.69$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 78c | 350$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 47c | 340.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 51c | 270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 35c | 261.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…910dbacked Under | 51c | 253.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 239.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 68c | 230.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 217$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Under | 51c | 196.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 33c | 183.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 65c | 161.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 33c | 154.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 125.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 113.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 37c | 109.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 109$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 32c | 104.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 46c | 102.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 35c | 97.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 30c | 77.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 65.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 73c | 63.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 62c | 57.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 57.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 42c | 56.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 32c | 54.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 65c | 49.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 64c | 45.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 50c | 41.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 48c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 50c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 51c | 27.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 24.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 65c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 70c | 23.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…a39cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: UD Almería O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.