La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70e7236890cedd933d48789d8e72351e3ccaeec18888696b8efd9da24ecf42d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 27c | 2,773$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.87 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 50c | 2,471$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 1,914$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.9 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 73c | 1,292$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Over | 7c | 1,280$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 40c | 1,267$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Under | 51c | 919.02$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 52c | 778.59$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 57c | 739.65$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 49c | 718.83$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.23 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 58c | 689.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Over | 28c | 432.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 49c | 414.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 409.44$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 20c | 375$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 16c | 371.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 355.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 349.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 61c | 256.61$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 50c | 225.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 207.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 22c | 204.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…9e22backed Over | 53c | 203.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed Under | 73c | 199.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 173.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…7d58backed Over | 10c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 127.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 127.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 119.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 105.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 103.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 26c | 101.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 42c | 90.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 63c | 54.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 50.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 73c | 49.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 44.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 73c | 41.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 27c | 39.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 73c | 38.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 37c | 35.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 33.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed Under | 56c | 29.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 44c | 29.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…7140backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 58c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Under | 60c | 19.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Under | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: UD Almería O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.