La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a87dd9c5126221b970f6279c9260b7eb5ff92222e024c4c74aea8336535f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 47c | 1,134$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.44 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,014$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 901.6$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.32 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…f68ebacked Yes | 56c | 893.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 784$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.15 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 595$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 44c | 430.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.71 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 403.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 61c | 339.38$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 49c | 227.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 50c | 196.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…c438backed Yes | 46c | 109.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 78c | 99.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 65c | 44.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 39.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…d53cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 54c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…d38abacked Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: UD Almería O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.