TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,512 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Under46c4,151$1,900 inWon+$2,250.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c1,405$762 inLost-$762.043,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over16c1,365$218 inLost-$218.3799933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over8c1,290$98 inLost-$9840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c460.1$248 inLost-$248.461,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c271.17$159 inWon+$1124,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd282…9e22backed Over36c194.44$70 inLost-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over10c120$12 inLost-$11.744424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over68c80.12$54 inLost-$54.361,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under24c66.3$16 inWon+$50.391,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0338backed Over76c66.3$50 inLost-$50.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost-$152010%2 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-76.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over68c16.37$11 inLost-$11.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.