MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db97866f97c987ad688be20ad35e367725d3029ed971af8100c7de39cf7142b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Washington Nationals, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,451,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,561,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,451,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,026,859$445,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445,200.54 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 401,724$225,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,724.14 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 380,065$218,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,683.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 42,142$23,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,759.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 38,749$20,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,062.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 31,649$14,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,241.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 28,011$15,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 27,807$15,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,728.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 24,000$13,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 22,741$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,746.66 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 16,907$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 13,570$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 9,062$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,650$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 6,961$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 6,608$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 6,185$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.9 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 6,080$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.3 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 5,480$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 5,373$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.56 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,999$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.67 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 3,803$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,700$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 3,459$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.05 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,302$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 2,882$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,762$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,716$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.72 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,394$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,386$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,362$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.78 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,037$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 2,014$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,008$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.22 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…2ae3backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 1,556$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,515$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.78 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,513$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.59 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,496$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.26 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Washington Nationals | 23c | 1,469$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.85 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,356$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 1,320$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,198$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.29 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,109$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.14 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,035$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 1,030$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.24 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 883.13$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 875.7$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.82 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 707$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 705.27$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.37 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 697.51$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.66 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 690.47$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 684.94$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.46 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 599.63$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.83 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 563.76$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.86 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 543.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…9b53backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 503.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 502.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 499.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 490.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 427.71$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 426$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 425.65$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 403.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 392.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 388.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 388.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 358.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…95ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 347.7$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 342.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 322.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 317$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 313.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 313.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 312.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 310.19$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 307.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 299.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 298.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.38 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 288.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 287.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 281.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 280$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.