TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,174,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,202,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,174,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No29c988,326$287,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700,387.7933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Yes62c940,137$584,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584,694.291931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No54c730,920$393,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337,370.0474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c475,822$204,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,340.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes50c413,593$208,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208,151.5364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c379,032$195,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,578.492,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes46c360,338$165,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165,603.7117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No30c311,737$92,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,812.957941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes63c293,054$184,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184,917.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No46c270,791$125,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,083.4415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes60c245,618$148,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,017.0414542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No31c223,388$69,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,636.5129952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes60c215,881$129,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,528.5315552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No31c181,381$56,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,736.935942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Yes35c178,406$61,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,750.393458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes70c174,515$121,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,491.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c165,077$35,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,273.493,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed No30c149,999$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,999.12085%17 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes71c138,515$98,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,255.9113959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c134,220$41,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,569.2516835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No53c127,627$68,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,564.7477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c5…c428backed Yes68c125,730$85,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,496.621513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No36c110,651$39,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,075.5242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes49c103,771$51,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,179.7266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes50c101,792$50,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,571.721,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes71c97,894$69,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,504.574445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cb…e9fdbacked Yes68c89,828$61,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,083.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c75,067$25,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,324.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes69c72,464$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Yes48c71,956$34,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,538.834148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No32c68,028$21,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,259.379943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No58c64,271$37,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,947.9738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed No56c60,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,4006152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No44c59,444$26,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,208.32,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed No30c57,999$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,599.627342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f63…e539backed Yes69c54,823$37,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,827.661866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c52,562$19,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,3891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1153…df79backed Yes59c50,823$30,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,049.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No30c50,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,000.119131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked No52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,0003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked No11c46,694$5,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,558.014548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes62c45,442$28,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,375.326749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No64c44,726$28,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,212.9510550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes71c41,896$29,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,746.184734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No63c41,217$26,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,196.9331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No24c40,492$9,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,852.4613533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes67c40,241$26,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,961.346159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes41c40,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,4007550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes67c39,944$26,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,651.0132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes71c39,791$28,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,251.434158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No30c39,666$11,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,872.9629333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes42c39,181$16,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,632.4724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes40c37,617$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Yes69c36,540$25,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,212.314841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No48c36,529$17,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,103.136842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Yes71c35,000$24,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,8502040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No31c35,000$10,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,1507839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No51c31,468$15,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,480.8836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239d…0f3fbacked Yes70c31,429$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes57c31,090$17,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,586.4723540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed No30c30,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.752347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes67c29,847$19,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,890.14663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No29c26,571$7,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,795.3519738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c26,500$15,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,503.2622959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c25,000$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,50027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…7c05backed Yes77c25,000$19,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,350.764632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No50c24,595$12,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,194.2514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes70c23,649$16,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,554.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No34c22,916$7,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,147.8456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c9…5eb1backed Yes68c22,720$15,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,449.883265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes67c22,388$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No32c22,139$6,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,154.838845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes62c21,600$13,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,339.0449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes61c21,268$12,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,951.5479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No52c21,248$11,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,101.548332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes47c20,800$9,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,675.971225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes70c20,000$13,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,92015150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes68c20,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,6008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No30c20,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,899.77740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes63c19,720$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes53c18,654$9,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,865.3875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No44c18,357$8,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,221.9414542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Yes62c18,243$11,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,350.753551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes38c18,220$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,880.156134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes44c18,000$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,919.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No23c17,979$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,908.9631945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes68c17,696$11,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,988.299145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Yes48c17,498$8,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,355.439538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes32c17,107$5,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.1236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes71c16,901$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes40c16,737$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No33c16,312$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,912.96645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Yes50c16,199$8,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.262441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No32c15,639$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,661.169238%35 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes71c15,555$11,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,043.773167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed No33c15,152$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,151.5210457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes44c15,110$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.724327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5219…2a54backed Yes69c15,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,350520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Yes67c14,950$10,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,016.444360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.