TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,111,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,621,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,111,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,078 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes30c274,440$82,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,768.8442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c171,718$102,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,072.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No77c170,882$132,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,123.7629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No73c147,245$106,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,822.081,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes10c100,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,00014232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes21c100,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,999.71915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c98,775$39,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,322.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No73c97,706$71,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,096.9924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c89,663$35,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,690.6756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes21c88,095$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,595.2414727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes23c78,121$17,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,328.8518047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c75,287$26,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,780.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No30c67,480$20,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,306.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c58,277$39,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,449.032,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f63…e539backed Yes56c57,030$31,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,093.161866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes21c51,220$10,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,257.0536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c51,180$15,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,417.2879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c46,039$36,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,370.431,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No54c45,770$24,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,686.461,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No78c45,308$35,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,340.2410056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes52c44,471$23,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,301.577550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes25c44,442$11,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,420.446749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c42,670$11,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,311.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf501…8063backed Yes78c36,081$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,080.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No78c35,719$28,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,030.618943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes24c33,757$8,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,663.7566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes22c33,000$7,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,66015127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c30,251$16,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,342.7342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes55c29,871$16,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,483.774667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes31c27,399$8,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,931.2526534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd095…dcd9backed Yes56c26,958$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,958.051533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked Yes28c25,542$7,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,428.682751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes16c25,022$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,021.6532429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No1c25,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes26c24,262$6,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,896.932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes48c24,051$11,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,443.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes21c22,000$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,49024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes23c21,739$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,739.134129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes22c21,639$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,774.434055%22 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes20c19,539$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,539.0113036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes49c17,100$8,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,730.484548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No62c15,695$9,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,688.3915746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes65c15,413$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,412.613971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes48c14,705$7,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.1349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No39c14,299$5,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.6238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes20c13,927$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,079.6715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes51c12,841$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,342.3142043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c12,538$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,899.7231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes48c12,536$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,534.764320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes23c12,372$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,571.542835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes35c12,300$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,048.1615131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No78c12,220$9,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,531.498450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes62c12,193$7,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.4136634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9db…33e4backed Yes72c12,161$8,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes10c11,988$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,731.7924146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes72c11,875$8,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.5918543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No69c10,882$7,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,508.577150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No75c10,710$7,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,994.651,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c10,560$8,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,342.476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c10,556$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,237.544,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2458…df0ebacked Yes75c10,415$7,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.848425%21 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes23c10,236$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,882.0714829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes23c10,236$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,882.0719332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes54c10,029$5,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.8232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.998254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.956842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes65c9,999$6,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.8338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes16c9,545$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,045.4510045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes21c9,524$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,523.8127433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes21c9,524$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,523.816939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No78c9,145$7,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,131.6430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No70c8,750$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes23c8,696$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,695.657541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes47c8,341$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.0911249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No63c8,297$5,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,241.9375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No79c8,000$6,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,32036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes21c8,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,32030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes30c7,897$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.271,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No70c7,811$5,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.6710251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fdd…2f82backed Yes64c7,710$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.343354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128b…bee9backed Yes76c7,309$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.166956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No48c7,272$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.9529333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No77c7,007$5,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,395.324075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,29012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23be…f444backed Yes66c6,963$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes23c6,952$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.6216325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes22c6,905$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.551631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…4f40backed Yes44c6,696$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.725330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…9b53backed Yes34c6,602$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.939034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7134…53d6backed Yes39c6,597$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,047.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x190e…b11abacked Yes79c6,407$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.091266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes30c6,240$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.853426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No31c6,211$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.9937644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1e…6067backed Yes31c6,190$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,247.088439.3%33 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No77c6,055$4,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.067269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.766152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No77c6,000$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.645851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Yes43c5,890$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.239638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed No78c5,800$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5245740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes10c5,733$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.183818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.