TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9db8…2effbacked Under16c9,949$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,312.0620731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c9,842$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,750.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ec…a8cdbacked Under37c8,166$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,165.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under10c6,116$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c5,791$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.931,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under11c4,998$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Over27c3,693$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.116624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under10c3,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under44c2,720$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.2814542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over18c2,376$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under72c2,234$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.332,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204a…a4eabacked Over22c2,057$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.52714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,883$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.212,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under11c1,504$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.4664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a16…b7e3backed Over75c1,309$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.951553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under12c1,200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0621,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under11c1,011$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c1,003$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.361,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Over77c779.22$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under77c604.81$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c557.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.022,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…f88fbacked Over76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under12c499.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under11c499.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9722835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under10c499.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under32c499.63$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7516165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under15c466.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.672,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under34c447.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over23c381.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6385851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under53c377.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.556053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over18c322.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over38c318.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9922122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c316.07$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under11c313.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under11c300$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2671,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under10c295.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.398731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80cc…bdd8backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under10c279.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.93,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under71c275$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.841,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c264.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4265948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c262.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.932,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Under12c257$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.167911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over24c252.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under18c238.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.342,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a17…910dbacked Over76c225.89$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.682475%18 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Under15c216.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6212635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under77c213$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4627028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Under13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17414746.9%69 W · 78 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under25c187.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed Over51c179.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under10c179.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…ef30backed Over80c176.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.066152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…86cabacked Over25c159.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.72045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fd…e7dcbacked Over28c158.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over12c149.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…593abacked Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over36c145$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.892,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012555.2%69 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over33c142.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.69467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under29c142$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.481,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over36c136$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9628240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under10c124.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.748231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under10c120$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under40c110$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.114856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over53c99.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.646453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over25c98.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.012,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over75c89.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0324533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under61c83.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.461,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1313247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under34c77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9223540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e4…38c5backed Over71c74.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.63812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.4wins-0.56per pick68cpaid-83.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x39e1…2c83backed Over47c67.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Over65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010450%52 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018243.4%79 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under58c54.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85714%8 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.539956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…3579backed Over63c49.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba7…106ebacked Over67c43.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a7…34d6backed Over35c43.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed2…9d82backed Under79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47950.6%40 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5909…2215backed Over67c34.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b0…f02abacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a52…0c6fbacked Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.415942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5576…0a66backed Over64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.427554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e65…88c4backed Over74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b2…a6a3backed Over74c17.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9816264.2%104 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under78c16.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6716556.4%93 W · 72 L-17.5wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over75c15.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7325455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.