TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,149 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over14c7,143$1,000 inLost-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over14c5,345$747 inLost-$747.182,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c4,061$61 inLost-$61.0251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over14c2,706$378 inLost-$377.742,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over3c1,724$50 inLost-$5015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over15c1,712$250 inLost-$25037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over10c1,700$170 inLost-$17035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over14c1,614$228 inLost-$227.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over4c1,349$48 inLost-$47.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over10c999.97$100 inLost-$10015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over14c749.99$102 inLost-$102.533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over14c714.29$100 inLost-$10018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost-$10016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c478.43$54 inLost-$53.532,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over8c463.17$37 inLost-$37.052,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Over14c400$56 inLost-$569330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over10c399.99$40 inLost-$4030836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over14c365.71$51 inLost-$51.232922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c230.36$25 inLost-$25.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost-$3012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac9d…44b5backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over14c207.14$29 inLost-$2949426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over10c158.21$16 inLost-$16.491,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d6…19f7backed Over15c154$23 inLost-$23.140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost-$2036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over15c112$17 inLost-$16.834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b4…3865backed Over15c75.49$11 inLost-$10.983342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.