TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c40,019$25,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,647.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c21,401$11,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,380.732,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under47c10,506$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,568.181,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under5c9,987$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,521.7836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over48c8,254$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c5,046$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c4,203$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c3,975$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.7174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under71c3,304$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.6617642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over53c3,073$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.933,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under10c2,850$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.494119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over29c2,790$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.8617544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c2,649$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.832,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,874$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c1,681$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Over44c1,658$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.4112432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6308950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over53c1,372$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.1664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under4c1,261$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.1914856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Under48c1,251$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.885341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Under48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c1,240$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under48c1,062$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3812753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over51c1,060$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.2311545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Under48c1,031$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.433243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,028$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c1,000$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.971,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over34c955.04$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.382,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dc…ef30backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over54c921.93$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.076940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under47c904.99$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.4758029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Under54c888.88$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.916855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a4…895bbacked Under71c850.55$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.552737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under14c784.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.532,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e21…233ebacked Over21c717.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under48c713$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under12c711.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.8110940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c699.78$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Over21c685.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.033616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over54c666.67$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c625.57$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.443,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under49c616.98$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9814655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under47c601.96$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over77c594.93$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.391,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9916165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over42c460.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3424028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under67c457.69$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under47c429.96$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c427$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5319436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under69c400$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over55c350.71$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.898734.5%30 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over53c350.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6210844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Over30c327$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under45c318.04$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.921,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Over31c314.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.654228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.251,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9027028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9799…68bcbacked Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under47c297.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8720841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over27c296.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…dcb4backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c292.16$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.683,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Under46c265.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Over47c258.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11014949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under54c230$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under54c214.49$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6714839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabf…832abacked Over32c213.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.32748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78b…206ebacked Under48c208.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.353666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+52%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under71c202.78$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7815156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over54c197.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8624140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under47c194.06$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8573234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c192.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee1f…2465backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4849…2e69backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under48c183.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3362452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under54c183.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3313447%63 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over51c177.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Under48c174.9$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over24c173$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under68c157.03$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.971,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032d…7168backed Over29c156.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458031.3%25 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.