TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over17c132,703$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c29,641$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over15c24,665$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.7217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over14c18,733$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.83595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over16c11,031$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over16c8,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over16c4,300$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.9321640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over16c2,792$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.061,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over13c2,580$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over15c2,496$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over16c1,900$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30412538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c1,351$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.341,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over15c1,304$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0243139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over15c1,007$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c985.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over6c923.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6847744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4751…dc3bbacked Over2c799.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-65.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over14c714.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0617625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over15c699.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over7c652.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.442,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Over16c646.12$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059417%16 W · 78 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c632.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022d…66d5backed Over15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over17c421.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6722135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over9c398.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.031,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over14c368.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.641,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over11c338.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Over15c306.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under79c251.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over11c247.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.471,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Over11c227.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256144.3%27 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3132317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5d…7590backed Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304632.6%15 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c186.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over15c183.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.549428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…593bbacked Over8c175$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1e…3517backed Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over15c150$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over16c140$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c137.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over16c131.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over12c123.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7623736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Over15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811237.5%42 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under79c107$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4757541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked Over16c102.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.411631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over14c100.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…f247backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…131ebacked Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16756.7%5 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158225.6%21 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f3…4a65backed Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over14c97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over16c91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563625%9 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over16c76.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2934844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…f863backed Over15c69.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick24cpaid+121.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbb4…ec61backed Over15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0513031.5%41 W · 89 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5fc…390ebacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-83.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…b3f4backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2134…231cbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470f…e804backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd2…3c02backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103915.4%6 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.