Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a795df050ffdc7dba110c800a2c6ae7ba5ba2bac2b4f592f32735a990e9362f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 17c | 13,813$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.4 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 3,055$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 18c | 2,448$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,774$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 17c | 1,721$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.94 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 52c | 1,228$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 17c | 811.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 679.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 662$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 17c | 590.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…fdd3backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…f8dbbacked Yes | 17c | 469.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 286.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 8c | 260.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 17c | 252.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…f79cbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 18c | 164.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 143.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e594backed Yes | 17c | 126.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…44b5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d7a8backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 17c | 102.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…cd66backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…ace1backed Yes | 19c | 79.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 70.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 57c | 60.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 18c | 57.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…c0febacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.