TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$620,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$634,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over32c179,281$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under68c128,129$86,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,360.1874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c117,877$86,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,687.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over32c59,789$19,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,132.489747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c26,319$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c19,500$13,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,339.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over31c15,606$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.591,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over32c15,399$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over13c15,063$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.128723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Under78c13,549$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.319148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over15c9,400$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.9621640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under78c8,098$6,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over17c8,043$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.8545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under69c7,589$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.4610457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under67c7,455$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.4777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under70c7,356$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.291,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under68c6,666$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.125240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c6,571$4,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c4,922$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under69c4,626$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.3344144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c4,621$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0859126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under68c3,500$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c3,438$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Over0c3,368$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82350%0 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under69c3,066$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under77c3,046$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over28c3,000$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Under71c2,920$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.82665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over24c2,572$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.7838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over32c2,563$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c2,536$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under67c2,416$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.4123255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked Under70c2,257$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.143171%22 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under69c2,213$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.9695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over29c2,195$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.2458942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c2,064$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.482,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over31c2,000$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c1,952$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over31c1,803$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.0958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over30c1,482$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.59635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under67c1,481$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.3871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c1,453$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.792,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.288035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over27c1,433$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.521,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over28c1,426$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.44112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over27c1,364$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7210331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under58c1,322$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7919158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under69c1,285$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.472,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Over32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over24c1,217$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28727637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over30c1,210$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36310335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over8c1,186$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.232,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over32c1,150$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36811122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over21c1,133$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under69c1,128$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6506…15c0backed Over33c1,118$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02b…ab4fbacked Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bb6…c956backed Under68c1,109$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.011560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under70c1,108$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under68c1,100$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.135740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over27c1,100$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.611254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under61c1,086$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7843230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over31c1,065$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over32c1,052$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.711717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…6d6fbacked Under68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Over25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under72c992.57$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.761,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c914.25$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over30c913.78$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8324344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over17c905.31$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.891,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Over23c864.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4912138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under75c850.5$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c841.17$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under68c839.1$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.514841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c834.94$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.537830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…f6a8backed Over32c834.38$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2671118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-70.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over32c828.13$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26519317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f9…2233backed Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502528%7 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under68c735.59$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under69c723.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.593,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under68c721.24$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2252744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under70c714$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.22,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.