Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118d664c3c963eb6be728d53198af8332a8067f4d2d14cdb7c6205d9678223d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,241$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.88 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…00fabacked Under | 75c | 1,462$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 1,295$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 73c | 999.95$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 27c | 782.89$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 435.91$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Over | 26c | 388$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 339.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…4005backed Over | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 280$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 26c | 219.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 188.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Over | 23c | 169.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 165.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…cc42backed Over | 27c | 129.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…d21ebacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 75c | 95.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Over | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 25c | 83.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 25c | 81.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 72c | 78.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 80c | 74.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…f967backed Over | 26c | 56.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…44b5backed Over | 25c | 51.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…a344backed Over | 27c | 40.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 75c | 38.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 74c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 75c | 32.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 75c | 28.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 73c | 25.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 74c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.