TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,490,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,550,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,490,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c267,375$96,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170,689.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over75c247,989$185,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,359.135366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under65c79,886$51,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,255.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c75,249$29,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,868.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under6c62,730$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,966.093,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under6c61,438$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,751.5233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under31c49,204$15,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,125.6844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under36c38,017$13,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,504.1936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under20c35,896$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,569.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Over50c33,134$16,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,551.523246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c31,855$15,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,442.332,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over53c31,847$16,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,834.5214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under70c20,701$14,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.9318543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Under5c20,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,999.7738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under71c18,532$13,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,282.7664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under46c18,000$8,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,760.7914349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e8…afdbbacked Over72c17,389$12,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.287454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under55c15,731$8,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,118.8517642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under7c10,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.9812432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under15c9,940$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,439.8313742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under32c9,598$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.7844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over17c9,400$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under22c9,055$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,065.581,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under23c7,648$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,881.3111561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over64c7,111$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.056155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c6,000$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over54c5,498$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.433544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under35c5,316$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.372,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over79c5,085$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under6c5,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Under24c5,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8102948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over58c5,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over54c4,468$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.3616750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under47c4,444$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.9831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Under64c4,243$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.15851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under47c4,225$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.1539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under17c4,150$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.1475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over53c3,774$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.3429633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over58c3,448$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.976848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over33c3,300$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.337451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over20c3,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over37c3,247$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.5825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e7…4bbfbacked Under15c3,235$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.62714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db6…c21ebacked Over32c3,173$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.483116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under1c3,115$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.1934249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c2,985$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.1219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over50c2,953$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.7527655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under75c2,941$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.3198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c2,906$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under72c2,719$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under10c2,700$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.338032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under1c2,500$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47530054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under40c2,265$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.681,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over33c2,264$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.4827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c2,253$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.022,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under37c2,159$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.421,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Under7c2,143$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.862722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over50c2,030$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.9210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over52c2,023$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.732,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under44c2,004$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c1,933$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.4130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under56c1,872$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83038333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under39c1,826$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.681,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6984…2f2ebacked Over26c1,811$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over13c1,807$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.464112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under57c1,702$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.358332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760b…dbd7backed Under6c1,667$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+229.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under80c1,659$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0812846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Over47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under17c1,591$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.4369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,570$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd189…b261backed Under17c1,483$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.481936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under7c1,429$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5719317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under33c1,352$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under37c1,303$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.531,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…3eb7backed Over58c1,289$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.55147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under22c1,288$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.7427931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over55c1,227$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.8246230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc487…ab80backed Over78c1,200$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.87458.1%43 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df0…7939backed Over32c1,196$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.416835.3%24 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c1,151$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.522,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under41c1,147$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.2526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over30c1,137$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6d8ebacked Over54c1,127$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6056657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821e…4e0ebacked Over5c1,117$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under27c1,101$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.8122147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Under47c1,100$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over9c1,099$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under6c1,079$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.131,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over64c1,078$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.2434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over39c1,078$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41722355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509118.7%17 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over42c1,000$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.2618449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.371,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Over62c987.89$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.597243.1%31 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.