TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,418,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,377,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,418,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 926 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c288,911$171,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,158.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes48c130,000$62,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,399.783930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf6…432fbacked Yes49c124,304$61,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,293.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c101,735$44,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,647.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No51c81,445$41,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,908.2474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes43c80,000$34,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,399.9717034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c79,936$41,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,139.8856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c75,075$39,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,059.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed No52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,999.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c68,907$38,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,508.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes48c56,506$27,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,386.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.9921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes43c43,813$18,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,853.6218047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No51c42,140$21,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,648.620844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Yes2c34,816$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.326624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes48c33,550$16,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,103.7615044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No51c33,337$17,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,313.1821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes47c33,331$15,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,598.8642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No53c31,418$16,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,738.1329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes50c28,944$14,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,571.854445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes48c22,955$10,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,991.0315843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No52c21,205$11,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,178.5718738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes34c17,122$5,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,741.236737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No51c17,078$8,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,368.226053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No52c16,727$8,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,028.758938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No60c12,176$7,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,852.3628042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No68c10,790$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.21,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes49c10,153$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.1917544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9007020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed No50c9,315$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.834544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes44c8,723$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.3137944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No62c8,673$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.7931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed No52c8,480$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.45250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c8,425$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,107.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes34c7,159$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4004721.3%10 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No54c6,547$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes38c5,240$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes32c5,097$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c5,048$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked No60c5,002$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.344472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9638817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes30c4,935$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Yes17c4,708$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.367823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes45c4,693$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.8478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes49c4,590$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.276154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c4,386$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.781,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes21c4,265$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.8411219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked No51c4,180$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.161560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…6586backed No50c4,160$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No52c4,018$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.7422139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf4…2c9cbacked Yes49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yes48c3,949$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.8443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cb…a6afbacked Yes49c3,876$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.043636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No53c3,578$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.3266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71517632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Yes47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c3,467$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.561,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed No51c3,117$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.331838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes49c3,100$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes8c3,089$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes52c3,030$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c2,816$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No26c2,710$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.1420646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed No52c2,704$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ea…5943backed Yes43c2,669$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes48c2,604$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No52c2,604$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Yes49c2,472$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.22763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6e…2ecabacked Yes42c2,381$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0104042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked No56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0126338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes48c2,299$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.2258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No51c2,100$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.781,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes48c2,055$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.246144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes48c2,045$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.373348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No53c2,042$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.921044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes46c2,015$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.214852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes25c2,002$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.912,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.0264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked No77c1,922$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.574067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes45c1,887$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.1865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked No74c1,860$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.61861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Yes49c1,850$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.279351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked No53c1,849$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.0620053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes46c1,848$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked No50c1,753$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.624751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No51c1,708$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.718641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfab…602dbacked No57c1,577$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.051442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.