Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a2f24949a85555846da3a25e28543a3feaaac145f5093547c5c42f532545b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 7c | 35,143$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 7c | 19,382$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.76 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 12,961$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 10,207$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 7c | 8,837$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.61 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 7c | 6,683$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 7c | 5,861$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.27 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked Over | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 6c | 1,832$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 6c | 1,599$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…ebfabacked Over | 1c | 1,363$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 3c | 1,227$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 1,008$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 6c | 962.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed Over | 4c | 873.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 6c | 767.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 2c | 739.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 7c | 732.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…f490backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 699.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 674.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 7c | 635$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Over | 7c | 514.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…6628backed Over | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…24d1backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 5c | 284.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Over | 7c | 284$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 7c | 253.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…f247backed Over | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…2a6abacked Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 7c | 182.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Over | 7c | 178$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…ec61backed Over | 6c | 166.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…5320backed Over | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5this page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.