TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
IR Iranof Belgium, IR Iran
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$643,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$631,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Belgium24c209,921$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed IR Iran79c185,129$145,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,550.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed IR Iran76c150,000$114,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium20c39,533$7,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9082,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed IR Iran79c30,224$23,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,476.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Belgium21c25,839$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,426.236634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium23c20,879$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,743.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Belgium1c12,755$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Belgium23c11,488$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.84854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Belgium22c10,276$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Belgium9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Belgium23c9,000$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.55832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Belgium21c8,050$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed IR Iran77c6,877$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Belgium23c6,522$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Belgium21c6,283$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.447237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Belgium12c5,576$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.7453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Belgium9c5,357$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9920646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Belgium23c5,265$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.952,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked IR Iran77c5,126$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Belgium19c4,999$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.9138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed IR Iran78c4,723$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Belgium23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Belgium21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed IR Iran77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Belgium22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed IR Iran77c3,950$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.1871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium23c3,805$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Belgium23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Belgium22c3,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7709126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Belgium21c3,467$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.0723036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium22c3,167$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked IR Iran78c2,520$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Belgium24c2,507$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Belgium5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Belgium22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed IR Iran78c2,243$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.441,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Belgium23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50615418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed IR Iran79c2,156$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.891,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed IR Iran79c2,112$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.281,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belgium11c2,106$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Belgium2c1,991$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8247744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Belgium22c1,971$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.1558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Belgium21c1,902$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4246546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed IR Iran78c1,753$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.1952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Belgium21c1,667$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Belgium24c1,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8422633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed IR Iran77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29913846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Belgium22c1,205$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Belgium22c1,139$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.077321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked IR Iran77c1,023$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.081,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Belgium21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed IR Iran77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed IR Iran78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked IR Iran78c999.97$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9934247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe27…f562backed IR Iran79c996.68$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.34440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed IR Iran77c944.99$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe005…090abacked Belgium5c920$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Belgium18c851.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed IR Iran77c799.99$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium13c773.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.172,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Belgium23c766.35$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.264916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Belgium23c760.87$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17560821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8240…cbfabacked Belgium21c738.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Belgium18c707.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Belgium22c686.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.893,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Belgium22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df9…d4b5backed Belgium21c666.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Belgium23c660.22$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.857722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed IR Iran79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed IR Iran79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.918334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed IR Iran79c618.73$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.271,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Belgium10c609.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Belgium18c609.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Belgium22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13247127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Belgium25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010757%61 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed IR Iran77c584.02$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.041,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Belgium23c573.91$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13222436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked IR Iran76c570$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.825848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Belgium18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Belgium19c510.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.081323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Belgium22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Belgium21c479.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.613623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Belgium21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Belgium22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Belgium22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Belgium22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65eb…2c83backed Belgium22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Belgium11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c3…3242backed Belgium23c436.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc351…7b19backed Belgium23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8734…87e6backed Belgium23c423.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.33633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Belgium14c416.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.261,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.