TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Belgiumof IR Iran, Belgium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,162 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed IR Iran2c15,649$387 inLost-$387.492,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed IR Iran2c12,947$312 inLost-$311.8842710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed IR Iran3c5,777$192 inLost-$192.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed IR Iran4c5,487$200 inLost-$20024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed IR Iran3c4,608$123 inLost-$123.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked IR Iran7c1,743$121 inLost-$121.371,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed IR Iran3c1,599$44 inLost-$4429018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…77ddbacked IR Iran3c1,586$46 inLost-$464619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked IR Iran3c1,550$45 inLost-$4554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked IR Iran8c1,490$118 inLost-$117.9338960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed IR Iran3c1,412$40 inLost-$40.481,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked IR Iran3c1,111$30 inLost-$3026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked IR Iran3c1,100$30 inLost-$29.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed IR Iran3c1,005$30 inLost-$3015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed IR Iran3c987.99$27 inLost-$26.68968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked IR Iran3c952.34$31 inLost-$313067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked IR Iran3c610$19 inLost-$18.9151315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed IR Iran3c575.13$18 inLost-$17.5738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked IR Iran2c568.35$13 inLost-$13.3621128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked IR Iran3c535.41$18 inLost-$18.4822343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4b…315cbacked IR Iran12c506.43$58 inLost-$58.451526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed IR Iran3c456.42$13 inLost-$12.7295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed IR Iran3c450.48$12 inLost-$12.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed IR Iran3c400.01$11 inLost-$10.61,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked IR Iran3c387.62$11 inLost-$10.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed IR Iran4c264.68$10 inLost-$1014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Belgium67c28.45$19 inWon+$9.446144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.