Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91bc2d5c57d20851caa4bbf821e9d7d3b488e041f21f00d256bc43caa9e1c4c9

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: IR Iranof Belgium, IR Iran
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,111,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,226,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,111,672 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa4b1…5143backed Belgium	43c	1,640,030$699,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699,588.64	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed IR Iran	59c	1,467,125$864,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602,533.53	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Belgium	43c	919,896$400,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399,999.58	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Belgium	44c	881,595$392,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392,204.74	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed IR Iran	56c	783,860$435,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348,359.92	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed IR Iran	59c	299,999$176,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122,999.61	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Belgium	44c	261,364$115,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed IR Iran	57c	232,673$132,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,187.8	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed IR Iran	57c	170,952$97,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,507.5	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked IR Iran	56c	156,265$87,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,577.04	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed IR Iran	58c	132,104$76,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,483.5	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked IR Iran	59c	121,383$71,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,527.58	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Belgium	43c	112,782$47,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,996.24	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Belgium	42c	102,747$43,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,153.82	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed IR Iran	59c	102,223$60,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,911.43	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed IR Iran	56c	100,574$56,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,928.66	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Belgium	30c	100,387$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed IR Iran	58c	100,245$58,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,845.32	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed IR Iran	57c	97,743$55,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,017.19	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed IR Iran	56c	84,324$47,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,860.55	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed IR Iran	58c	73,780$42,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,987.6	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked IR Iran	57c	70,182$40,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,168.12	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed IR Iran	73c	69,409$50,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,606.82	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked IR Iran	60c	68,729$40,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,822.68	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed IR Iran	55c	63,000$34,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,350	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked IR Iran	56c	62,221$34,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,377.16	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked IR Iran	58c	60,912$35,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,518.56	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Belgium	45c	60,500$27,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,210	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed IR Iran	56c	55,555$31,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,444.2	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked IR Iran	56c	52,327$29,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,023.88	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198a…6762backed IR Iran	57c	46,709$26,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,084.93	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Belgium	43c	40,113$17,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,248.61	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Belgium	43c	40,000$17,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,199.98	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked IR Iran	56c	40,000$22,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,599.96	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium	42c	35,752$14,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,966.01	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbd…1140backed Belgium	44c	34,091$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed IR Iran	59c	33,898$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,898.29	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Belgium	20c	33,101$6,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,739.66	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked IR Iran	58c	31,271$18,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,100.6	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Belgium	43c	30,000$12,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,899.97	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked IR Iran	71c	27,486$19,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,055.32	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed IR Iran	75c	26,646$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,646.28	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked IR Iran	56c	25,779$14,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,342.55	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed IR Iran	57c	25,373$14,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,907.4	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Belgium	42c	24,461$10,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,273.72	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ace…ea51backed Belgium	41c	23,171$9,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,500	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed IR Iran	52c	22,776$11,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,956.79	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Belgium	37c	22,765$8,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,508.49	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf501…8063backed Belgium	44c	22,727$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204a…a4eabacked Belgium	2c	22,630$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Belgium	23c	21,738$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.83	145	42.1%61 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked IR Iran	56c	20,758$11,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,171.28	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed IR Iran	57c	20,000$11,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,600	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked IR Iran	59c	20,000$11,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,200	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed IR Iran	59c	19,912$11,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,101.4	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Belgium	43c	18,605$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed IR Iran	59c	17,820$10,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,306.4	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked IR Iran	57c	17,544$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,543.86	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Belgium	6c	16,620$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.18	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	13cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Belgium	44c	16,591$7,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,300	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Belgium	42c	16,528$6,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,941.8	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Belgium	30c	15,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Belgium	41c	14,994$6,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,147.54	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Belgium	45c	14,698$6,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,614.1	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed IR Iran	56c	14,500$8,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,310	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed IR Iran	56c	14,061$7,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,186.84	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Belgium	44c	14,000$6,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,160	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0402…4e41backed IR Iran	56c	12,655$7,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,568.2	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked IR Iran	57c	12,644$7,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,426.67	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Belgium	42c	12,499$5,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,274.73	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Belgium	40c	12,160$4,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,818.43	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked IR Iran	56c	12,000$6,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,279.99	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked IR Iran	59c	11,532$6,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,769.98	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Belgium	44c	11,364$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Belgium	42c	10,001$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,200.4	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed IR Iran	57c	10,000$5,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Belgium	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Belgium	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed IR Iran	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399.99	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed IR Iran	55c	9,947$5,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,495.82	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Belgium	31c	9,751$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed IR Iran	58c	9,622$5,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,007.21	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed IR Iran	62c	9,238$5,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,518.19	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd92b…1b1bbacked Belgium	44c	9,091$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Belgium	45c	9,000$4,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,010	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked IR Iran	63c	8,998$5,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,322.91	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed IR Iran	56c	8,993$5,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,956.81	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed IR Iran	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,771.93	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed IR Iran	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,771.93	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked IR Iran	57c	8,747$4,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,774.59	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed IR Iran	57c	8,373$4,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,606.04	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Belgium	43c	8,162$3,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,549.83	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Belgium	41c	8,060$3,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,304.7	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Belgium	44c	8,000$3,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,520	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Belgium	43c	8,000$3,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,440	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed IR Iran	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Belgium	41c	7,977$3,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,270.6	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed IR Iran	59c	7,855$4,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,214.47	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed IR Iran	56c	7,763$4,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,394.88	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked IR Iran	56c	7,651$4,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,344.87	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)this page
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)IR Iran won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event