TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No74c784.29$580 inWon+$203.9134249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost-$20019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes5c477.15$24 inLost-$23.862,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c336.43$32 inLost-$31.64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No75c273.01$205 inWon+$68.2585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes14c261.36$36 inLost-$36.433189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No76c245.38$186 inWon+$59.281,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost-$5028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c166$125 inWon+$41.52,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…2136backed Yes25c118.52$30 inLost-$29.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Yes25c102.48$26 inLost-$25.576535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No74c96.23$71 inWon+$24.912,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Yes25c80$20 inLost-$207445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ab…38a6backed Yes24c70.9$17 inLost-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…c335backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes23c54.18$12 inLost-$12.466328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No75c48.16$36 inWon+$12.233,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c47.43$35 inWon+$12.333,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…dd03backed Yes26c42.31$11 inLost-$117038.6%27 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a1…a667backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$106523.1%15 W · 50 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No76c38$29 inWon+$9.071,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No76c38$29 inWon+$9.121,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No68c31.59$21 inWon+$10.1145536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No77c19$15 inWon+$4.371,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.