TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,368,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,338,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,368,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,590 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Under47c699,999$328,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370,999.4315249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over53c600,000$318,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317,999.9915552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b1…5143backed Over47c421,098$199,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,999.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c416,675$201,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215,360.9964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Over51c400,000$206,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,999.962669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Under47c291,079$136,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,682.872085%17 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c267,390$145,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,469.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over55c229,325$125,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over53c200,000$106,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,00020844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under47c190,525$89,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,978.2322348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under49c175,879$86,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,698.4117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under49c140,000$68,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,399.9315456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c113,336$80,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,250.312,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over52c107,881$56,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,531.9877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,00042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Over53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,0003930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Over51c96,725$49,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,329.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under48c88,888$43,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,777.2111647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under47c83,622$39,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,100.2432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over22c78,993$17,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,648.541,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over53c70,000$37,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,10017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under50c66,787$33,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,117.1974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under49c61,224$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,224.494341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over54c60,000$32,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,399.973339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over48c60,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,799.9614843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c54,640$17,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,435.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,50023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Over2c49,860$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.26624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Under48c44,993$21,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,396.622343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c43,872$21,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,813.2942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over53c42,178$22,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,500.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under48c36,127$17,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,861.8313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under46c35,349$16,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,175.8914055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under47c33,601$15,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,682.5317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over53c29,500$15,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,734.998158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c29,083$15,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,413.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under78c28,480$22,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,265.544158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under49c28,400$13,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4842458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under48c28,267$13,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,793.068349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Over54c27,778$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under49c26,589$13,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,462.97448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Under46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.139045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over53c21,208$11,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,240.1114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0769…3690backed Over50c20,105$10,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,070.142360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c20,000$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,899.891,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c19,330$10,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,251.5659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Under52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.775841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under52c19,013$9,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,069.644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c18,000$9,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,619.872,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c17,410$8,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,778.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under47c16,957$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,956.527545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over15c16,538$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.0521631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Over52c15,385$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0006939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c14,606$7,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,594.786947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Under51c13,618$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,618.334025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over52c12,889$6,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,702.3624344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c12,502$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,501.815843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.9829646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under47c11,910$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.549948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under46c11,585$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.051,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…1a19backed Over55c11,318$6,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,224.96021.7%13 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under47c11,291$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.218251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over54c11,111$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over54c10,991$5,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,935.144250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over37c10,799$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.623920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.675442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over53c9,762$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,173.841,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over53c9,726$5,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,154.841,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over53c9,500$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,03534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c9,300$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8362842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under47c9,293$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.3917852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over54c9,011$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.9438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c8,904$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under49c8,748$4,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.735745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Over51c8,370$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over50c8,277$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.64459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under46c8,156$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.0921849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,24050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.9844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under47c7,710$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,102.946662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c7,537$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.172,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over30c7,188$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.5113811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Over52c6,850$3,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.8813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Under49c6,500$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3152462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under59c6,479$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.4233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c6,399$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c6,388$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.691,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under53c6,385$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.5522933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c6,238$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over21c6,081$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.6174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c6,043$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.881,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Under47c5,957$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.4514430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.