TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over38c97,409$37,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under61c41,601$25,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,224.4474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c30,488$20,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,390.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c29,912$18,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,464.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c14,829$10,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,601.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c12,114$7,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over35c11,338$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c9,544$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.332,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c7,656$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over31c5,843$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under65c5,500$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.9936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over9c5,442$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.792,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…e565backed Over35c5,100$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over33c4,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over32c3,100$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.9837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over36c2,996$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.918723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over36c2,815$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c2,372$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.952,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over35c1,910$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.682,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over6c1,688$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.282,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c1,441$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over34c1,379$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under65c1,300$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under67c1,163$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over37c1,160$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.266152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c1,000$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.891,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33014234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over34c999.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Over32c999$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.689148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c909.04$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over36c839.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c813.64$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under64c719.74$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.111,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under61c717.56$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.852,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under64c684.09$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c650.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x947a…8180backed Over12c646.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.55728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over35c601.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.719325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over34c584.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over34c583.3$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.111,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under63c518.91$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over34c499.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9913155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under65c465.28$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.321,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under65c458.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.243,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Over33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c434.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.041,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over32c398.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.551,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under65c395.01$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.972,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c340.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0755…117bbacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d8…e520backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007622.4%17 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6343…943bbacked Over36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813331.6%42 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74b…d765backed Under68c291.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Under63c289.87$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.256958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed Under67c271.84$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.713951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Over32c252.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7049426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x069c…a2f1backed Over37c203.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over20c182.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.222,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed Under64c176$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.362969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over22c175$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ef…39c2backed Over36c168.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb09a…d6a8backed Over30c164.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59168.1%62 W · 29 L+17.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under65c158.93$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.851,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509840.8%40 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under66c147.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x950e…2bd6backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2a…2e15backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa4…3854backed Over36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb73…4f95backed Over35c138.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.819542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c137.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over32c132.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.62,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over33c124$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9425…63f2backed Over35c117.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Under70c111.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.585343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under65c107.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb282…cde9backed Over35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365232.7%17 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under73c97.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.392,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Over35c97.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.