TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd565…3f5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$177.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$267.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$195.09
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.41
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$90.37
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$175.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$98.66
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.31
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.32
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$159.33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.28
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$230.25
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.15
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$80.7
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$184.13
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$126.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$108.56
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.3
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+144%+$285.91
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.68
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$78.78
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$48.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53.12
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.79
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$179
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.4%+$84.85
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.3%+$40.67
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.4
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$188.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$131.2
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$726.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$56.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$70.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$122.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$176.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.