La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb18fc7edd3275956f14316284b6f28312e6bfedadeae48330aa58e5593900d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 48c | 103,401$49,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,787.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 52c | 41,534$21,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,582.12 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 52c | 39,994$20,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,796.88 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 52c | 24,222$12,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,537.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 17,584$9,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,362.88 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 4,797$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 51c | 3,736$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.45 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 3,100$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 53c | 2,636$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.58 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 2,226$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.84 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 2,037$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.96 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 63c | 2,030$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.73 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,793$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 1,722$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.11 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 29c | 1,721$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 49c | 1,424$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 33c | 1,192$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.22 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 47c | 995$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 980.54$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 49c | 801.55$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 51c | 727.91$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.82 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 649.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 45c | 465.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 48c | 432.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 48c | 414.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 55c | 365.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 52c | 339.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 53c | 271.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 37c | 268.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 48c | 253.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 52c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 53c | 249.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 63c | 226.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 48c | 208.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 52c | 153.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 57c | 149.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 36c | 131.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 48c | 124.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 47c | 120.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…4489backed Yes | 44c | 111.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 102.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 102.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 100.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…305fbacked Yes | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 52c | 81.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…ac12backed Yes | 48c | 79.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 48c | 74.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…7f73backed Yes | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…a20abacked No | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…3eeebacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…bfb1backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…27b1backed Yes | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 49c | 47.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 43c | 46.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.