La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9fb59dd78c1ff79620d034e4e25de04f78cf4ab3f59045adbd1bdd7da6416ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc151…2501backed No | 78c | 4,016$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 22c | 3,180$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.56 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 3,158$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.18 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 2,124$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.73 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.72 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 775.12$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 78c | 630.45$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 578.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 504$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 23c | 328.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked No | 78c | 258.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 25c | 244$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 27c | 222.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 79c | 190$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 24c | 178.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…3df4backed Yes | 29c | 165.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…bb33backed No | 77c | 162.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…21bdbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…1d23backed Yes | 29c | 145.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 144.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 26c | 120.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 75c | 101.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 24c | 97.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 35.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 22.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…105dbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…435dbacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Villarreal vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.