Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f65845afcf9ea3de2ee6f3a34fbfbd9c279c440464df82d9c10b26466265c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Sonego, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $735,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $919,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Medvedev | 80c | 144,721$115,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,944.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sonego | 16c | 102,384$16,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,814.17 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sonego | 20c | 54,539$10,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,783.91 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Medvedev | 76c | 29,387$22,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,963.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Sonego | 29c | 21,407$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.13 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Sonego | 51c | 15,516$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.23 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Medvedev | 47c | 9,716$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Medvedev | 54c | 9,586$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.95 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Medvedev | 56c | 9,000$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Sonego | 19c | 8,930$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.34 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sonego | 43c | 8,312$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.93 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sonego | 39c | 7,617$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Sonego | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Sonego | 21c | 5,208$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.75 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sonego | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Sonego | 33c | 4,893$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Medvedev | 41c | 4,831$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.95 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Sonego | 21c | 4,411$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Sonego | 20c | 4,158$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Medvedev | 55c | 4,020$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.64 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Medvedev | 79c | 3,000$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.3 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Sonego | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Medvedev | 46c | 2,855$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Sonego | 54c | 2,769$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Medvedev | 80c | 2,587$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.3 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…09b8backed Medvedev | 63c | 2,273$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Sonego | 21c | 2,148$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.76 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sonego | 21c | 2,047$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.94 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Sonego | 41c | 2,005$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.05 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Medvedev | 56c | 1,977$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.31 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Sonego | 57c | 1,916$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Sonego | 21c | 1,882$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medvedev | 77c | 1,872$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.66 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sonego | 20c | 1,861$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.11 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Medvedev | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5841…c655backed Medvedev | 79c | 1,768$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Sonego | 54c | 1,679$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Medvedev | 80c | 1,632$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Sonego | 21c | 1,585$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.79 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Sonego | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…aebabacked Medvedev | 79c | 1,485$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Sonego | 55c | 1,479$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Medvedev | 61c | 1,463$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.27 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Sonego | 23c | 1,450$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0bddbacked Sonego | 44c | 1,385$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sonego | 20c | 1,376$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sonego | 57c | 1,373$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80d…dc0fbacked Sonego | 21c | 1,365$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…60bebacked Sonego | 21c | 1,365$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Medvedev | 80c | 1,298$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…aff0backed Sonego | 22c | 1,271$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…17bebacked Medvedev | 78c | 1,271$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sonego | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Medvedev | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sonego | 50c | 1,150$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Sonego | 51c | 1,141$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.32 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…0fb5backed Sonego | 21c | 1,123$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Medvedev | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…c481backed Sonego | 22c | 1,109$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…0205backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,109$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…0065backed Sonego | 22c | 1,102$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…7200backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,102$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…a882backed Sonego | 21c | 1,056$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Medvedev | 51c | 1,032$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Medvedev | 54c | 1,001$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Sonego | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sonego | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Sonego | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…7b32backed Medvedev | 55c | 960$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sonego | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Sonego | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…bb7abacked Medvedev | 79c | 936$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Medvedev | 58c | 919.73$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Medvedev | 80c | 851$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Sonego | 37c | 804.81$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Sonego | 37c | 744.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sonego | 47c | 723.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.44 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Medvedev | 36c | 722.22$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.22 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…6e94backed Medvedev | 79c | 720$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sonego | 33c | 690.23$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Sonego | 53c | 669.91$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Medvedev | 59c | 669$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…51a3backed Sonego | 45c | 656.01$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Sonego | 32c | 634.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Sonego | 44c | 631.82$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Medvedev | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Sonego | 33c | 620$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Sonego | 17c | 612.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Sonego | 25c | 600.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Medvedev | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Sonego | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…a25bbacked Medvedev | 63c | 595.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Sonego | 35c | 569.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Medvedev | 42c | 567.69$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Medvedev | 68c | 548.81$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Sonego | 49c | 534.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…64f0backed Sonego | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Medvedev | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Medvedev | 55c | 499.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.