TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb01…635b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.95
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Taha Baadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+422.4%+$1,132.99
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Ilya Ivashka vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$77.99
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.77
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tena Lukasbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$141
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Izyan Ahmadbacked Izyan Ahmad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.46
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.23
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.15
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$65.97
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.4
Wuhan Tennis Open: Shuai Zhang vs Coco Gauffbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sofia Kenin vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Wuhan Tennis Open: Magdalena Frech vs Karolina Muchovabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+422%+$163.41
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$55
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.5
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.27
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.99
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.44
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-83.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.