TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$468,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks24c150,000$36,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,349.9342552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Kings67c56,573$37,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,934.8814057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Sharks33c47,925$15,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,865.5413449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Kings65c42,257$27,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,790.0914538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings62c30,031$18,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,359.7931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks33c26,490$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,817.8558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Sharks34c25,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Kings66c23,021$15,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,830.0821652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Kings67c15,298$10,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,048.343246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…4d62backed Sharks43c13,500$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c0…810cbacked Kings57c13,500$7,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings74c12,837$9,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.61,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe97f…d5b1backed Sharks36c11,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Sharks19c10,067$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.153818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Sharks12c9,415$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.484035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Sharks33c8,995$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.3570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Sharks35c8,617$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01610658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dae…b2e1backed Kings64c7,800$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x331b…944ebacked Kings64c7,800$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Kings66c6,861$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.3441246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sharks35c5,749$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.7830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Sharks41c5,227$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks0c5,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Kings66c4,982$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.9437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8185…aa29backed Sharks36c4,600$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Kings66c3,588$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.0615646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Sharks26c3,518$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.596254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Sharks20c3,434$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.742847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings65c3,400$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings77c2,474$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.322,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kings69c2,281$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.5527143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks34c2,250$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf200…cf95backed Kings57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Sharks34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks18c1,965$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.641,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings72c1,598$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b01…0aa5backed Kings63c1,574$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Sharks35c1,530$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9924845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Sharks34c1,400$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47653337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks36c1,226$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.371,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kings65c1,141$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Sharks34c1,059$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0626946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Sharks10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Sharks34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Kings67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdee…2cb3backed Sharks33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b917backed Kings66c999.9$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings65c898.66$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.912,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Sharks18c893.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.85319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Sharks34c878.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Kings64c871$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9230848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Kings66c789$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.261,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings63c786.73$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Kings65c769.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Kings66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Sharks35c740.24$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.821,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Sharks34c711$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7415448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Sharks34c660.14$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4519942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Sharks37c650.84$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Sharks35c610$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.118750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks32c606.21$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.151,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Sharks16c598.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd008…9171backed Kings67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa556…2c2bbacked Sharks34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Kings66c550$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1871650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Sharks39c510.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5133848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe662…3546backed Kings65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick53cpaid+67.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sharks35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e0…04cfbacked Sharks36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c49…7c10backed Kings67c487.23$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790d…9995backed Sharks36c480.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Sharks34c429.85$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1548748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Kings57c403.81$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.811936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Sharks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed Kings53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Sharks35c394.29$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Kings67c382.09$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0919033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c6…1661backed Sharks14c330.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa7…b707backed Sharks34c306.47$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.25939%23 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks33c306.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4141248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Kings61c287.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9110160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Sharks35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Sharks35c283.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.662249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Kings65c275.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.385653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Sharks35c267.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7112348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Sharks34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Sharks34c247$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9723545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings71c246.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd3…8757backed Kings60c234.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Kings64c222$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Kings65c218.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9929345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df9…063abacked Sharks40c212.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.