TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b01…0aa5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$991.36
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$493.19
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$499.75
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$370.53
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.34
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.18
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.4
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$461.28
76ers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.19
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.06
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.28
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+222%+$724.79
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$167.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$161.54
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.22
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.27
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.64
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.5%+$506.19
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,584Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+46.8%+$741.53
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+48%+$366.24
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$301.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$537.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$188.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$216.53
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+41%+$122.87
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$115.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+79.2%+$252.56
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.57
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$236.3
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.41
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$282
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$382.53
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.19
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$582.58
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+91.5%+$731.65
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$280.05
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$107.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$27.32
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan Wangbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.