TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$771,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x145c…43bcbacked Wild50c317,556$158,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158,730.123148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Jets50c313,938$156,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,544.259340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Wild51c78,296$39,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,663.984264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets50c60,365$30,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,323.0388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets50c33,611$16,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,649.911,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild49c33,500$16,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,414.8436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Wild49c18,101$8,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,930.8313449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Jets49c15,574$7,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,883.7637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd79…fe86backed Jets50c15,420$7,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…d95ebacked Wild50c15,420$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jets50c15,277$7,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,675.5641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets50c14,828$7,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.2492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild51c13,773$7,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,024.21,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets50c13,520$6,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.3530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Wild51c13,400$6,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8344447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets50c12,757$6,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,378.2931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5144…f8f2backed Wild65c11,600$7,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,540560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2667…5cd6backed Jets35c11,600$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,540540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jets49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Jets50c8,230$4,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,11530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jets49c8,016$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.1640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Jets51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Wild51c5,445$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.7730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Jets50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wild40c3,203$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.2527143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets50c3,096$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Wild50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Jets51c2,400$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1886543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wild49c2,051$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.0387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets50c2,037$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.982,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jets51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2102…25f6backed Jets51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9806100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Wild50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7207…1ce7backed Wild50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Jets49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Jets49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0205446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Jets51c1,996$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.141330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Jets51c1,969$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.69949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Jets51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.786046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ef…e7b6backed Wild50c1,936$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1974…9d0ebacked Wild50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bd…1a8ebacked Jets51c1,898$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab8…6b48backed Jets51c1,863$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Wild49c1,637$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.1361959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b01…0aa5backed Jets52c1,532$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9b…1fb3backed Wild49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed Wild50c1,350$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets51c1,319$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.1164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Jets51c1,300$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets50c1,156$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets50c1,154$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.129651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Wild48c1,122$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5242847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Wild49c1,114$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.857152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets49c1,071$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.431,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets50c1,063$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.641,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets59c1,047$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Jets45c1,031$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5141248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Jets49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Jets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe662…3546backed Jets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick53cpaid+67.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Jets49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Jets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcea…e87dbacked Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Jets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e0…04cfbacked Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Wild50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Jets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Jets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Wild48c999.95$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.982650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Jets51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jets52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5423047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Wild48c951.47$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.718746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets52c905.18$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.731,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Wild49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44112244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Jets52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4326750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild48c887$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.051,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wild53c852.49$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wild48c847.98$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8351045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild19c837.68$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.161,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e9…5e83backed Jets51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.313748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets50c728.76$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Jets50c711$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.515448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild79c700.73$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Wild59c696.59$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0933848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets50c650$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2750…c8bbbacked Jets50c630$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Jets50c626.92$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9223047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0244…90a8backed Wild50c618$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.