TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Suns, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$907,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$947,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $907,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Suns46c100,320$46,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,322.865540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Suns48c78,895$38,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,209.2819249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz49c75,000$36,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,25038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Jazz49c73,532$35,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,540.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Suns51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,5007149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f7…f63dbacked Jazz54c43,014$23,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,797.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz55c42,326$23,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,985.185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jazz51c27,924$14,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,709.0536148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Suns47c26,852$12,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,620.4351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns21c20,593$4,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.5781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Suns50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9434645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Suns51c18,781$9,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,578.196352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Jazz54c18,380$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,380.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Suns50c17,820$8,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,887.8335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Jazz52c16,109$8,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,806.145149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jazz74c13,556$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.9934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns3c12,560$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.811,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz48c10,578$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.4751350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Jazz54c9,427$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,337.861747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Suns10c8,850$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8856746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns15c8,583$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.921,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jazz51c8,277$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.4947751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Jazz54c7,626$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.936241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Jazz53c6,986$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.422245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Suns48c6,919$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3216953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Suns48c6,552$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1456155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Jazz53c6,549$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.797142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Suns38c5,840$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.645246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Suns0c5,678$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215156.9%29 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns25c5,288$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jazz65c5,038$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.7747144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Suns52c4,801$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.9130053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Suns43c4,400$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.8217637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Suns50c4,381$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.7712160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz66c3,918$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns4c3,782$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.088783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Suns41c3,196$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.5547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Jazz80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz75c3,000$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.4172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Suns47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4103237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Suns50c2,967$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.9844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns1c2,848$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.037211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Suns51c2,778$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.992,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Suns20c2,691$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.381,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Suns0c2,650$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.658820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Suns51c2,320$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.0271052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Suns24c2,300$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.12520%5 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns51c2,272$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.9869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns47c2,200$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.7361835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Suns51c2,117$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.5195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns1c2,109$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.421,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Suns52c2,107$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.584757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Suns37c2,100$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77747535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Suns1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207418.9%14 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Suns48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Jazz54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87410852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns30c1,898$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.171,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Suns49c1,851$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.4320034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Jazz54c1,842$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.0117441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Suns50c1,756$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.315655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Suns29c1,696$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns52c1,632$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.442,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…0ca8backed Suns51c1,504$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cb…a48dbacked Jazz50c1,503$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns28c1,470$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.282,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Suns4c1,434$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce73…b810backed Suns37c1,298$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3160%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns51c1,233$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.911,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns5c1,200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e6…a857backed Suns51c1,178$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.782951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77f…cfbabacked Suns4c1,166$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns15c1,038$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b01…0aa5backed Suns28c1,038$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.282222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Suns53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Suns48c999.94$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz52c999.77$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.8933945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf480…b232backed Jazz49c980$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Suns49c971.69$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.134045%18 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Jazz53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Jazz71c911.65$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.389652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a7…7d96backed Suns52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7051…cf04backed Suns52c880$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…f9c7backed Jazz49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ff…71fcbacked Suns47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb72…cb01backed Jazz54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Suns30c697.4$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd715…915abacked Suns47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1c…f784backed Jazz63c635.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.423836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0a…1aaabacked Jazz48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Suns22c599.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Jazz52c599.97$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Suns42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x350d…b898backed Suns21c585.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Suns50c585.45$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2212941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…c28cbacked Suns52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…34a6backed Jazz49c576$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.761154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns43c541$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.