NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa5615115b7a42c1a85fbf708ed86b567d32cf7663f7529702148109d954c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Magic, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $728,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 619 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Magic | 53c | 44,807$23,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,645.32 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 38c | 40,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.9 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 0c | 28,636$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 25,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pistons | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pistons | 45c | 20,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.91 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 54c | 17,918$9,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,695.11 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 30c | 17,689$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 33c | 16,425$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.33 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pistons | 48c | 15,181$7,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,838.76 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Pistons | 45c | 14,449$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,956.32 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 52c | 14,063$7,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,263.62 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 54c | 13,994$7,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,557.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Magic | 38c | 12,780$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.42 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 28c | 12,541$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.94 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Magic | 52c | 12,076$6,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,308.72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pistons | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pistons | 51c | 10,471$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.95 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pistons | 78c | 9,850$7,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.08 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Magic | 67c | 9,243$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pistons | 47c | 8,035$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.55 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Magic | 54c | 7,678$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.01 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Pistons | 48c | 7,566$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Magic | 51c | 6,950$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.45 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Magic | 51c | 6,159$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.96 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 12c | 5,794$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Magic | 56c | 5,500$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.49 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 49c | 5,228$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.45 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Pistons | 48c | 5,183$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.68 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Pistons | 48c | 4,936$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.95 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Pistons | 44c | 4,455$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.97 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 78c | 4,215$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 53c | 4,205$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.45 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 56c | 4,056$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Pistons | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Magic | 52c | 3,815$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 2c | 3,718$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Magic | 53c | 3,664$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.33 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Pistons | 47c | 3,656$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Magic | 6c | 3,617$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Pistons | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.94 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 50c | 3,446$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.85 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Pistons | 37c | 3,252$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.91 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Pistons | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons | 38c | 2,680$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.63 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Magic | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Magic | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…2034backed Magic | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…aac4backed Pistons | 48c | 2,500$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 45c | 2,479$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.2 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Pistons | 47c | 2,417$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.17 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 2,360$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 53c | 2,311$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.73 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 55c | 2,204$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Magic | 51c | 2,060$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pistons | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 42c | 1,988$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.55 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Magic | 34c | 1,966$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.51 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Pistons | 78c | 1,964$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Magic | 25c | 1,962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 1,948$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pistons | 42c | 1,897$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.16 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Magic | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Magic | 53c | 1,608$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.32 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Magic | 53c | 1,554$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.41 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Magic | 19c | 1,548$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Pistons | 45c | 1,545$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.06 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Magic | 1c | 1,538$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Pistons | 44c | 1,522$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.31 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…6578backed Magic | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pistons | 48c | 1,305$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.46 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,109$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.78 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,102$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…9aa9backed Magic | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Magic | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Magic | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pistons | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Pistons | 49c | 996$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…3546backed Magic | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Pistons | 48c | 943$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Magic | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…a59cbacked Pistons | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pistons | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Pistons | 48c | 895.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pistons | 49c | 889.76$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.58 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Pistons | 47c | 875.9$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 55c | 875$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.92 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…1ce7backed Pistons | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…25f6backed Magic | 53c | 833$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistonsthis page
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.