NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b12ef6f0183e77f47b8369fba5445925d168cf8295ea60fba7834c3c983f21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Hawks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,402,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,464,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,402,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Bulls | 46c | 200,000$91,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,999.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Hawks | 48c | 100,000$48,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,359.05 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Bulls | 47c | 78,642$37,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,492.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks | 27c | 69,469$18,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,443.5 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hawks | 55c | 61,588$33,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,897.69 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Hawks | 55c | 52,144$28,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,789.56 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…1a95backed Hawks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…eeb4backed Hawks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Hawks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Hawks | 53c | 46,674$24,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,737.16 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bulls | 44c | 40,277$17,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,494.19 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Hawks | 55c | 34,699$19,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,084.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Hawks | 57c | 32,000$18,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,285.24 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Bulls | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,899.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Bulls | 75c | 28,731$21,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bulls | 47c | 27,922$13,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,906.77 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hawks | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bulls | 64c | 24,690$15,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.05 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Bulls | 45c | 23,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,650 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Bulls | 44c | 22,975$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,932.17 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls | 47c | 21,416$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,416.06 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 49c | 20,763$10,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,112.18 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Hawks | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 54c | 19,799$10,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643.34 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks | 55c | 17,403$9,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,645.73 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Bulls | 65c | 15,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hawks | 55c | 14,495$7,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,972.22 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Bulls | 44c | 14,481$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,081.13 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks | 55c | 14,446$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…327fbacked Bulls | 53c | 13,885$7,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Hawks | 19c | 10,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 53c | 10,232$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.9 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bulls | 57c | 9,929$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.42 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks | 55c | 9,002$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.79 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Hawks | 55c | 7,917$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bulls | 41c | 7,103$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.97 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Hawks | 55c | 6,977$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.43 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hawks | 54c | 6,897$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.44 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 15c | 6,818$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.46 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Hawks | 55c | 6,530$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.24 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawks | 55c | 6,369$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.36 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 51c | 6,281$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Hawks | 34c | 5,866$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.18 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…cfbabacked Hawks | 0c | 5,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…a912backed Bulls | 77c | 5,704$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 39c | 5,367$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.45 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 56c | 5,000$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Bulls | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bulls | 46c | 4,943$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.61 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Hawks | 43c | 4,547$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.25 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 42c | 4,000$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 50c | 3,995$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.46 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Bulls | 44c | 3,900$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hawks | 56c | 3,640$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Bulls | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bulls | 43c | 3,565$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.23 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 47c | 3,503$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.76 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks | 55c | 3,390$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 32c | 3,289$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bulls | 40c | 3,239$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.42 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 52c | 3,182$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.53 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hawks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Hawks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bulls | 45c | 2,526$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Hawks | 57c | 2,289$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Bulls | 43c | 2,250$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…0b7bbacked Bulls | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 55c | 2,152$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.66 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…da24backed Hawks | 52c | 2,052$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.5 | 438 | 51.8%227 W · 211 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…a2c9backed Bulls | 50c | 2,009$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hawks | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Hawks | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,000$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.32 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bulls | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Hawks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks | 54c | 1,935$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.4 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Hawks | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…8afbbacked Hawks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bulls | 50c | 1,726$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.17 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Hawks | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,700$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Hawks | 55c | 1,585$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.57 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,535$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.73 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…c156backed Hawks | 53c | 1,490$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…129abacked Bulls | 48c | 1,489$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 55c | 1,464$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Hawks | 18c | 1,435$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.45 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Hawks | 10c | 1,336$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 41c | 1,317$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.07 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,273$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.15 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…b810backed Hawks | 24c | 1,236$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Bulls | 50c | 1,214$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…df47backed Hawks | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…af87backed Bulls | 50c | 1,154$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bulls | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Bullsthis page
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.