TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9af…6371

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NHL at 48 out of 100; worst NFL at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST4143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Louisville: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+99%+$4,949.65
O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,900
Florida Gators vs. Kentucky: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,820
Florida Gators vs. Kentuckybacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,920
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-5.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,400
UAB Blazers vs. Rice: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,563.1
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,550
Spread: Indiana (-14.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,400
Temple vs. Army: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,400
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+98.2%+$5,894.2
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.4%+$4,161.01
Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,594Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$2,594
Spread: Washington State (-3.5)backed Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,000
Spread: Michigan (-21.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: North Texas (-6.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$4,877.36
Spread: Minnesota (-3.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Spread: Boise State (-17.5)backed Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,946Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$5,488.19
Spread: Memphis (-13.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,711Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$3,290.89
Spread: Jacksonville State (-4.5)backed Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,150
O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,897
Spread: South Florida (-4.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,426Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$6,174
Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+98.2%+$3,632.08
UCLA vs. Indiana: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,946Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.7%+$4,782.87
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST4035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,005.98
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,340
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,325
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,250
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Heat vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,666Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+103.5%+$4,829.27
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.4%+$3,250.52
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.9%+$364.39
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48.53
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$4,163.27
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10,500
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,850
Timberwolves vs. Nets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+100%+$3,000
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$8,012.71
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,191
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,683
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,571
Warriors vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$3,720
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,521Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$4,521
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$4,279.17
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,871
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2920.7%6 W · 23 L-8.5wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17,500
Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$4,000
Spread: Lions (-9.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$7,500
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,988Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$8,540.53
Jaguars vs. Raiders: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,688
Commanders vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$2,702.38
Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,678
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,880
49ers vs. Texans: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,068.84
Dolphins vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,167Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$2,992.42
49ers vs. Texans: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,147.87
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$988.44
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,915.81
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,000
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,043
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,100
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21,241
Bears vs. Raiders: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,096
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,888
Jaguars vs. 49ers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,603
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,970.4
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,075.47
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,770Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$3,343.44
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,741Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11,179.42
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,600
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,585Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$12,584.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,884Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$6,450.55
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,511.03
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$190.03
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,736
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,754
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,457Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$7,891.89
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,133
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,678
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,592Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$4,575.27
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,416Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$2,706.58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,538
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,446Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$5,434.04
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,258
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.